[PDF] War And Peace In The Taiwan Strait eBook

Author : Scott L. Kastner
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Page : 148 pages
File Size : 25,87 MB
Release : 2022-11-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0231552734

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As tensions continue to rise between the People’s Republic of China and Taiwan, numerous analysts and officials have warned of a growing risk of military conflict, which could potentially draw in the United States. How worried should we be about a war in the Taiwan Strait? Scott L. Kastner offers a comprehensive analytical account of PRC-Taiwan relations that sheds new light on the prospects for cross-strait military conflict. He examines several key regional trends that have complex implications for stability, including deepening economic integration, the shifting balance of military power, uncertainty about the future of U.S. commitment, and domestic political changes in both the PRC and Taiwan. Kastner argues that the risks of conflict are real but should not be exaggerated. Several distinct pathways could lead to the breakout of hostilities, and the mechanisms that might allay one type of conflict do not necessarily apply to others—yet war is anything but inevitable. Although changes to the balance of power introduce risks, powerful mitigating factors remain in place and there are plausible steps to reduce the likelihood of military conflict. Drawing on both international relations theory and close empirical analysis of regional trends, this book provides vital perspective on how a war in the Taiwan Strait could occur—and how one could be avoided.

Author : Richard C. Bush
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 435 pages
File Size : 43,24 MB
Release : 2005-11-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0815797818

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The relationship between Taiwan and China is a paradox. On the one hand, the two economies are becoming increasingly integrated, as Taiwanese companies have come to regard the mainland as the best place to manufacture their products and maintain global competitiveness. On the other hand, the long-running and changing political dispute between the two governments remains unresolved. Each side fears the intentions of the other and is acquiring military capabilities to deter disaster. In its pursuit of peace in the Taiwan Strait, the United States could get drawn into a war between the two rivals. Richard C. Bush, whose career has been dedicated to Taiwan-China issues, explores the conflicts between these nations and the difficulties that must be resolved. Disagreements over sovereignty and security form the core of the dispute. What would be the legal status and international role of the Taiwan government in a future unified China? Given China's growing military power, how could Taiwan feel secure? Complicating these issues are domestic politics and international competition, as well as misperceptions on both sides. Thus multiple obstacles prevent the two sides from even getting to the negotiating table, much less reaching a mutually acceptable resolution. For reasons of policy and politics, the United States is constrained from a central role. To begin with, it must provide China with some reassurance about its policy in order to secure cooperation on foreign policy issues. At the same time, it must bolster Taiwan's political confidence and military deterrence while discouraging provocative actions. The arcane nature of this dispute severely restricts the role of the United States as conflict mediator. But if there is to be any solution to this conflict, the comprehensive analysis that this book provides will be required reading for effective policy.

Author : Bruce A. Elleman
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield
Page : 254 pages
File Size : 49,97 MB
Release : 2014-12-16
Category : History
ISBN : 0810888904

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In Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy, historian Bruce Elleman surveys the situation that has led to the current tensions between China and Taiwan. Starting in 1949, the final phase of the civil war in China, which ended with Communist rule of the mainland and nationalist control of Taiwan, this work explores how the 100-mile wide passage of water, known as the Taiwan Strait has served as the geographic flashpoint between the two nations. Even though U.S. Navy destroyers have patrolled this body of water from 1950 to 1979, it has seen four crises—1954-55, 1958, 1962, and, after the withdrawal of the U.S. Navy, 1995-96—that threatened to push Taiwan and China to the brink of war. Notwithstanding the role of the United States in defusing cross-strait tensions for some three decades and the cold peace that has settled in since then, the Taiwan Strait continues to be a major source of anxiety for the region and the world. Taiwan Straits: Crisis in Asia and the Role of the U.S. Navy traces the evolution of this tension between the two nations, details the history of the crises between them, and brings this story forward into the present by considering continuing sources of conflict, present diplomatic efforts by the aggrieved nations, and other key interests—from the United States and Europe to other regional powers—and future possible outcomes in the ongoing struggle between China and Taiwan relations. Simply written and cogently argued, it is the ideal source for military personnel, diplomats, and scholars and student of the modern Far East.

Author : Robert Blackwill
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations Press
Page : 102 pages
File Size : 40,68 MB
Release : 2021-02-11
Category :
ISBN : 9780876092835

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Taiwan "is becoming the most dangerous flash point in the world for a possible war that involves the United States, China, and probably other major powers," warn Robert D. Blackwill, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Henry A. Kissinger senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy, and Philip Zelikow, University of Virginia White Burkett Miller professor of history. In a new Council Special Report, The United States, China, and Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War, the authors argue that the United States should change and clarify its strategy to prevent war over Taiwan. "The U.S. strategic objective regarding Taiwan should be to preserve its political and economic autonomy, its dynamism as a free society, and U.S.-allied deterrence-without triggering a Chinese attack on Taiwan." "We do not think it is politically or militarily realistic to count on a U.S. military defeat of various kinds of Chinese assaults on Taiwan, uncoordinated with allies. Nor is it realistic to presume that, after such a frustrating clash, the United States would or should simply escalate to some sort of wide-scale war against China with comprehensive blockades or strikes against targets on the Chinese mainland." "If U.S. campaign plans postulate such unrealistic scenarios," the authors add, "they will likely be rejected by an American president and by the U.S. Congress." But, they observe, "the resulting U.S. paralysis would not be the result of presidential weakness or timidity. It might arise because the most powerful country in the world did not have credible options prepared for the most dangerous military crisis looming in front of it." Proposing "a realistic strategic objective for Taiwan, and the associated policy prescriptions, to sustain the political balance that has kept the peace for the last fifty years," the authors urge the Joe Biden administration to affirm that it is not trying to change Taiwan's status; work with its allies, especially Japan, to prepare new plans that could challenge Chinese military moves against Taiwan and help Taiwan defend itself, yet put the burden of widening a war on China; and visibly plan, beforehand, for the disruption and mobilization that could follow a wider war, but without assuming that such a war would or should escalate to the Chinese, Japanese, or American homelands. "The horrendous global consequences of a war between the United States and China, most likely over Taiwan, should preoccupy the Biden team, beginning with the president," the authors conclude.

Author : On Demand Publishing
Publisher : CreateSpace
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 40,73 MB
Release : 2006-05-09
Category : Fiction
ISBN : 9781419639043

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The Taiwan Strait is probably the most dangerous place on earth. The convention wisdom is to maintain the status quo, which means no war, no peace, no unification and no independence. In an uncertain world, such ambiguity could lead to war between America and China. This book suggests a refreshing approach to the Taiwan problem. Once the problem is resolved properly, the peoples of both sides of the Pacific Ocean may enjoy a prolonged period of peace and prosperity.

Author : J. Michael Cole
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 41,27 MB
Release : 2017
Category : China
ISBN : 9781138696235

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10 The trap that China set for itself -- 11 The myth of inevitability -- 12 Is war the only option? -- 13 The 2016 elections: A return to uncertainty? -- Part 4 Why Taiwan matters -- 14 The last free refuge -- 15 The folly of abandonment -- 16 What can Taiwan do? -- Acknowledgments -- Index

Author : Ying Zhou
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 21,20 MB
Release : 2017
Category :
ISBN :

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It is demonstrated that the influence of rapidly advancing globalization reduces the likelihood of military conflicts at the Taiwan Straits. The future of Taiwan Straits issue will likely be maintaining the current stalemate with no armed conflicts, no reunification, and no independence.

Author : Terence Kwai
Publisher : Createspace Independent Pub
Page : 336 pages
File Size : 27,83 MB
Release : 2006-05-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 9781419639036

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The Taiwan Strait is probably the most dangerous place on earth. The conventional wisdom is to maintain the status quo, which means no war, no peace, no unification and no independence. In an uncertain world, such ambiguity could lead to war between America and China. This book suggests a refreshing approach to the Taiwan problem. Once the problem is resolved properly, the peoples of both sides of the Pacific Ocean may enjoy a prolonged period of peace and prosperity.

Author : Richard C. Bush
Publisher : Brookings Institution Press
Page : 337 pages
File Size : 29,25 MB
Release : 2013
Category : History
ISBN : 0815723849

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"Focuses on cross-Strait relations during Ma Ying-jeou's first term, assessing the impact of stabilization on economics, politics, and security and the implications for resolution of Taiwan and China's fundamental dispute. Examines how Taiwan can strengthen itself; how China can promote a mutually acceptable outcome; and how Washington can protect its interests in South Asia"--Provided by publisher.

Author : Ramon H. Myers
Publisher : Hoover Institution Press
Page : 172 pages
File Size : 25,28 MB
Release : 2013-09-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0817946934

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A concise and informative history of how China divided in 1949 into two regimes, why they struggled to achieve the same political goal-reunification of China—and why their struggle today continues in a more complex and dangerous way. The authors detail how the changes brought about by the 2000 election not only intensified the conflict between the regimes but locked both sides into a new contest that increased the probability of war rather than peace.