[PDF] The Experience Of East European Countries With Different Exchange Rate Regimes eBook

Author : Ms.Inci Ötker
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 72 pages
File Size : 32,59 MB
Release : 1994-02-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451921578

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This paper estimates a speculative attack model of currency crises in an attempt to identify the roles of macroeconomic fundamentals and speculative market pressures in the recent crisis, as well as earlier devaluations in adjustable fixed exchange rate systems in the European currency markets. For a sample of five countries, including Denmark, Ireland, Spain, Norway, and Sweden, our empirical analyses show that both economic fundamentals and speculative factors have a significant influence on the probability of devaluations. The recent experience in the European foreign exchange markets suggests that the latest realignments are mainly the result of foreign exchange market tensions amidst the growing conflict between the needs of the domestic economies and the policies needed to maintain fixed exchange rates. Our results confirm that regardless of the source of the deterioration in economic conditions, market participants perceived the existing parities of the currencies in these five countries as inconsistent with their underlying economic fundamentals, thus effectively bringing about either a realignment or a modification of the exchange arrangement.

Author : Mr.Paul R. Masson
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 26 pages
File Size : 28,40 MB
Release : 1999-07-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451972644

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The more advanced Central and Eastern European Countries (CEECs) face an evolving set of considerations in choosing their exchange rate policies. On the one hand, capital mobility is increasing, and this imposes additional constraints on fixed exchange rate regimes, while trend real appreciation makes the combination of low inflation and exchange rate stability problematic. On the other hand, the objectives of EU and eventual EMU membership make attractive a peg to the euro at some stage in the transition. The paper discusses these conflicting considerations, and considers the feasibility of an alternative monetary framework, inflation targeting.

Author : Philippe De Lombaerde
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 391 pages
File Size : 34,18 MB
Release : 2017-11-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 135114586X

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This book analyzes the monetary and exchange rate policies in Eastern European countries not covered by the current EU enlargement process. Specifically the book examines the major CIS countries: Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia and the Ukraine. (The new Eastern European EU members are also frequently referenced for comparison purposes.) Current and prospective monetary policy options are considered and the applicability of the EU monetary integration experience for the CIS countries and the prospects of a monetary re-unification around the Russian Federation are assessed. This is the first book to formally deal with many of these questions.

Author : Mr.Slavi T Slavov
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 31 pages
File Size : 48,9 MB
Release : 2017-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475590962

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There are 13 countries in Central, Eastern and Southeastern Europe (CESEE) with floating exchange rate regimes, de jure. This paper uses the framework pioneered by Frankel and Wei (1994) and extended in Frankel and Wei (2008) to show that most of them have been tracking either the euro or the US dollar in recent years. Eight countries, all of them current or aspiring EU members, track the euro. Of the five countries keying on the US dollar in various degrees, all but one belong to the Commonwealth of Independent States. The paper shows that the extent to which each country’s currency tracks the euro (or the dollar) is correlated with the structure of its external trade and finance. However, some countries appear to track the EUR or USD to an extent which appears inconsistent with inflation targeting, trade or financial integration, or the extent of business cycle synchronization. The phenomenon is particularly pronounced among the countries in the CESEE euro bloc, which may be deliberately gravitating around the euro in anticipation of eventually joining the Euro Area.

Author : Michael Davenport
Publisher :
Page : 56 pages
File Size : 44,30 MB
Release : 1992
Category : Europe, Eastern
ISBN :

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Recoge: Summary and Conclusions - 1. Introduction - 2. Preliminaries - 3. Choice of the exchange rate regime - 4. The optimal peg - Appendix 1: An Easter Payments Union and the Independent States - Appendix 2: Private ECU clearing - Appendix 3: The proposal to create an ECU Zone for Eastern Europe.

Author : Mr.Michael Bruno
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 12,40 MB
Release : 1992-05-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451844859

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The paper analyzes common issues emerging from the recent experience with Fund-supported programs in Hungary, Poland, Czechoslovakia, Bulgaria and Romania. These comprise the initial price-overshooting and the output collapse, fiscal sustainability as well as the financial and structural problems associated with bad loan portfolios and sluggish implementation of privatization programs. Substantial success, in varying degrees, has been achieved in the initial macro-stabilization and opening-up effort. At the same time mounting difficulties with fiscal and monetary control may be emerging, as a result of social and political pressures and insufficiently clear policy signals on the micro-issues involving the sharp structural transformation of the productive and financial systems.

Author : John Williamson
Publisher :
Page : 488 pages
File Size : 42,30 MB
Release : 1991
Category : Currency convertibility
ISBN :

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Analyzes the issue of convertibility of currency in an Eastern European context, reviews the history of efforts elsewhere to achieve it, and recommends preferred courses of action. In particular, it considers the relative merits of shock programmes and more gradual approaches.