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Reinforcing Deterrence on NATO's Eastern Flank

Author : David A. Shlapak
Publisher :
Page : 15 pages
File Size : 15,12 MB
Release : 2016
Category : Baltic States
ISBN :

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"Russia's recent aggression against Ukraine has disrupted nearly a generation of relative peace and stability between Moscow and its Western neighbors and raised concerns about its larger intentions. From the perspective of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), the threat to the three Baltic republics of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania -- former Soviet republics, now member states that border Russian territory -- may be the most problematic of these. In a series of war games conducted between summer 2014 and spring 2015, RAND Arroyo Center examined the shape and probable outcome of a near-term Russian invasion of the Baltic states. The games' findings are unambiguous: As presently postured, NATO cannot successfully defend the territory of its most exposed members. Fortunately, it will not require Herculean effort to avoid such a failure. Further gaming indicates that a force of about seven brigades, including three heavy armored brigades -- adequately supported by airpower, land-based fires, and other enablers on the ground and ready to fight at the onset of hostilities -- could suffice to prevent the rapid overrun of the Baltic states"--Publisher's web site.

Permanent Deterrence

Author : Alexander Vershbow
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 14,47 MB
Release : 2019-02-14
Category :
ISBN : 9781619775824

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NATO's Changing Its Posture Against Russia From Assurance to Deterrence

Author : U S Military
Publisher :
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 21,64 MB
Release : 2019-07-24
Category :
ISBN : 9781082391231

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Russia's seizure of Crimea in the Ukraine rung alarm bells in the West, raising fears of a resurgent Russia intent on regaining its former dominance in Eastern Europe. Over the last two years, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has renewed its focus on defending its member nations from an aggressive and resurgent Russia. This focus encompasses a switch from assurance, which the United States and NATO have relied on during the post-Cold War era, to deterrence which is more in line with its posture against the former Soviet Union. NATO was created in 1949 as part of a broader effort to serve three purposes: deterring Soviet expansionism, forbidding the revival of nationalist militarism in Europe through a strong North American presence on the continent, and encouraging European political integration. During the Cold War, NATO pursued deterrence by both punishment and denial. Deterrence by punishment sent a message based on 'unactable damages', which included a threat of massive nuclear retaliation for any Soviet attack - conventional or nuclear. Through deterrence by denial, NATO deployed a forward defense at its eastern border with the Soviet Union in order to make it physically difficult for the communist nation to achieve its expansionist objective.This compilation includes a reproduction of the 2019 Worldwide Threat Assessment of the U.S. Intelligence Community.After the fall of the Soviet Union, NATO's deterrence posture deteriorated as the world view shifted. Its forces, conventional and nuclear, were dramatically downsized and nation members consistently reduced their defense spending contributions. Additionally, NATO experienced an atrophy of deterrence know-how, including planning, exercises, messaging and decision making. This is because NATO's post-Cold War security environment changed. NATO became more involved in crises like the western Balkans and Afghanistan. Following the Cold War, NATO no longer considered Russia an adversary and some of the former states have since become members of the alliance. As a result, the size of NATO's military presence has been significantly reduced over the years. There may also be a question of the commitment of some of its members when it comes to monetary contributions. Each nation is expected to expend the equivalent of two percent of its gross domestic product (GDP) in support of NATO.9 However, many nations fall very short of that number. In fact, of the 28 countries in the alliance, only five-the U.S., Greece, Poland, Estonia and the U.K.-meet the target.

Strengthening Deterrence

Author : Joseph J. Wolf
Publisher :
Page : 326 pages
File Size : 32,55 MB
Release : 1982
Category : Technology & Engineering
ISBN :

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Atlantic Council's undersøgelse af troværdigheden af NATO's nukleare afskrækkelse. Der skrives om Sovjetunionen og NATO, om magtbalance, krigsmateriel og sikkerhedspolitik. - Introduktion ved red. Joseph J. Wolf.

Defending Every Inch of NATO Territory

Author :
Publisher :
Page : 8 pages
File Size : 35,70 MB
Release : 2022
Category : Deterrence (Strategy)
ISBN :

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In light of Russia’s unprovoked war on Ukraine, the Scowcroft Center for Strategy and Security’s Transatlantic Security Initiative convened a task force of Atlantic Council experts focused on strengthening US and NATO force posture. This Issue Brief outlines the strategic context that NATO now faces, key principles for strengthening NATO’s deterrence posture, and a menu of recommended posture enhancements for the Alliance.

Future NATO

Author : John Andreas Olsen
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 203 pages
File Size : 30,15 MB
Release : 2020-10-07
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1000345629

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Future NATO looks at the challenges facing NATO in the 21st century and examines how the Alliance can adapt to ensure its continued success For more than 70 years, the North Atlantic Alliance has helped to preserve peace and stability in the Euro-Atlantic area. It has been able to adjust to varying political and strategic challenges. We must ensure that NATO continues to be effective in the future. This requires looking ahead, challenging habitual approaches, exchanging ideas, and advancing new thinking. I highly recommend Future NATO to policymakers, military professionals and scholars alike, as it offers necessary critical and constructive analysis of current and future challenges posed to our security and defence.Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, Minister of Defence, Germany Since 1949, NATO has successfully upheld common principles and adapted to new realities. As Future NATO examines, the Alliance is facing a new set of external and internal challenges in the decades to come. The Alliance and its partners need to remain committed to future changes. I recommend this excellent study to all, but especially to the younger generation of scholars and future policymakers. Trine Bramsen, Minister of Defence, Denmark Over the last 70 years, Europe has lived in peace and prosperity because of NATO, with unity as our most important weapon. We may have our differences, but we will continue to work on our common cause to promote peace, security and stability. To effectively do so, NATO needs to continuously adapt to changing security situations. An important current challenge is to ensure European Allies take more responsibility for their security. But we also need to look at future challenges and find innovative solutions for them. Future NATO offers a useful analysis that can help us prepare for what is to come for the Alliance. Ank Bijleveld, Minister of Defence, The Netherlands

Conventional Defense and Total Deterrence

Author : Robert B. Killebrew
Publisher : Rowman & Littlefield Publishers
Page : 184 pages
File Size : 22,31 MB
Release : 1986
Category : History
ISBN :

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To find more information about Rowman and Littlefield titles, please visit www.rowmanlittlefield.com.

NL ARMS Netherlands Annual Review of Military Studies 2020

Author : Frans Osinga
Publisher : Springer Nature
Page : 538 pages
File Size : 25,59 MB
Release : 2020-12-03
Category : Law
ISBN : 9462654190

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This open access volume surveys the state of the field to examine whether a fifth wave of deterrence theory is emerging. Bringing together insights from world-leading experts from three continents, the volume identifies the most pressing strategic challenges, frames theoretical concepts, and describes new strategies. The use and utility of deterrence in today’s strategic environment is a topic of paramount concern to scholars, strategists and policymakers. Ours is a period of considerable strategic turbulence, which in recent years has featured a renewed emphasis on nuclear weapons used in defence postures across different theatres; a dramatic growth in the scale of military cyber capabilities and the frequency with which these are used; and rapid technological progress including the proliferation of long-range strike and unmanned systems. These military-strategic developments occur in a polarized international system, where cooperation between leading powers on arms control regimes is breaking down, states widely make use of hybrid conflict strategies, and the number of internationalized intrastate proxy conflicts has quintupled over the past two decades. Contemporary conflict actors exploit a wider gamut of coercive instruments, which they apply across a wider range of domains. The prevalence of multi-domain coercion across but also beyond traditional dimensions of armed conflict raises an important question: what does effective deterrence look like in the 21st century? Answering that question requires a re-appraisal of key theoretical concepts and dominant strategies of Western and non-Western actors in order to assess how they hold up in today’s world. Air Commodore Professor Dr. Frans Osinga is the Chair of the War Studies Department of the Netherlands Defence Academy and the Special Chair in War Studies at the University Leiden. Dr. Tim Sweijs is the Director of Research at The Hague Centre for Strategic Studies and a Research Fellow at the Faculty of Military Sciences of the Netherlands Defence Academy in Breda.