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Recoveries After Pandemics: The Role of Policies and Structural Features

Author : Juan Pablo Cuesta Aguirre
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 14,81 MB
Release : 2021-07-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513583794

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To shed light on the possible scarring effects from Covid-19, this paper studies the economic effects of five past pandemics using local projections on a sample of fifty-five countries over 1990-2019. The findings reveal that pandemics have detrimental medium-term effects on output, unemployment, poverty, and inequality. However, policies can go a long way toward alleviating suffering and fostering an inclusive recovery. The adverse output effects are limited for countries that provided relatively greater fiscal support. The increases in unemployment, poverty, and inequality are likewise lower for countries with relatively greater fiscal support and relatively stronger initial conditions (as defined by higher formality, family benefits, and health spending per capita).

Post-Covid-19 Recovery and Resilience: Leveraging Reforms for Growth and Inclusion in Sub-Saharan Africa

Author : Mrs.Paola Ganum
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 33 pages
File Size : 33,91 MB
Release : 2021-02-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513570048

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Covid-19 has exacerbated economic and social vulnerabilities across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). There is a risk that growth could be lower for longer, with a setback to development. Post-pandemic reforms thus become even more important, especially with constrained scope for fiscal and monetary stimuli. Reforms could boost per capita growth by an additional 0.3-1.3 percentage points, relative to the 1.9 percent average since 2010. Such growth would reduce per capita income doubling time from 37 years to about 22 years. Low-income countries stand to gain the most from reforms. The largest gains come from governance, products markets, and factor accumulation. Importantly, these reforms can be implemented in the post-pandemic environment characterized by weaker social and distributional outcomes.

Pandemic Influenza Preparedness and Response

Author : World Health Organization
Publisher : World Health Organization
Page : 62 pages
File Size : 20,82 MB
Release : 2009
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9241547685

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This guidance is an update of WHO global influenza preparedness plan: the role of WHO and recommendations for national measures before and during pandemics, published March 2005 (WHO/CDS/CSR/GIP/2005.5).

After-Effects of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Prospects for Medium-Term Economic Damage

Author : Mr. Philip Barrett
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 23 pages
File Size : 24,45 MB
Release : 2021-07-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513587900

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The COVID-19 pandemic has led to a severe global recession with differential impacts within and across countries. This paper examines the possible persistent effects (scarring) of the pandemic on the economy and the channels through which they may occur. History suggests that deep recessions often leave long-lived scars, particularly to productivity. Importantly, financial instabilities—typically associated with worse scarring—have been largely avoided in the current crisis so far. While medium-term output losses are anticipated to be lower than after the global financial crisis, they are still expected to be substantial. The degree of expected scarring varies across countries, depending on the structure of economies and the size of the policy response. Emerging market and developing economies are expected to suffer more scarring than advanced economies.

Policy Actions for COVID-19 Economic Recovery

Author : Ramesh Subramaniam
Publisher : Asian Development Bank
Page : 242 pages
File Size : 22,53 MB
Release : 2021-07-01
Category : Medical
ISBN : 9292629263

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The Policy Actions for COVID-19 Economic Recovery (PACER) Dialogues were held from June to September 2020 as the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic accelerated around the world. They shared cutting-edge knowledge and best practices to help countries in Southeast Asia and the People's Republic of China strengthen cooperation to mitigate the devastating effects of COVID-19 and accelerate their economic recovery. This compendium of 13 policy briefs summarizes the discussions, recommendations, and actionable insights from the PACER Dialogues.

The Long Shadow of Informality

Author : Franziska Ohnsorge
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 397 pages
File Size : 42,74 MB
Release : 2022-02-09
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1464817545

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A large percentage of workers and firms operate in the informal economy, outside the line of sight of governments in emerging market and developing economies. This may hold back the recovery in these economies from the deep recessions caused by the COVID-19 pandemic--unless governments adopt a broad set of policies to address the challenges of widespread informality. This study is the first comprehensive analysis of the extent of informality and its implications for a durable economic recovery and for long-term development. It finds that pervasive informality is associated with significantly weaker economic outcomes--including lower government resources to combat recessions, lower per capita incomes, greater poverty, less financial development, and weaker investment and productivity.

The Rise in Inequality After Pandemics: Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role?

Author : Davide Furceri
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 26 pages
File Size : 41,44 MB
Release : 2021-04-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513582402

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Major epidemics of the last two decades (SARS, H1N1, MERS, Ebola and Zika) have been followed by increases in inequality (Furceri, Loungani, Ostry and Pizzuto, 2020). In this paper, we show that the extent of fiscal consolidation in the years following the onset of these pandemics has played an important role in determining the extent of the increase in inequality. Episodes marked by extreme austerity—measured using either the government’s fiscal balance, health expenditures or redistribution—have been associated with an increase in the Gini measure of inequality three times as large as in episodes where fiscal policy has been more supportive. We survey the evidence thus far on the distributional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, which suggests that inequality is likely to increase in the absence of strong policy actions. We review the case made by many observers (IMF 2020; Stiglitz 2020; Sandbu 2020b) that fiscal support should not be withdrawn prematurely despite understandable concerns about high public debt-to-GDP ratios.

OECD Employment Outlook 2021 Navigating the COVID-19 Crisis and Recovery

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 404 pages
File Size : 19,10 MB
Release : 2021-07-07
Category :
ISBN : 9264340335

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The 2021 edition of the OECD Employment Outlook focusses on the labour market implications of the COVID‐19 crisis. Chapters 1-3 concentrate on the main labour market and social challenges brought about by the crisis and the policies to address them.

Economic Policy Reforms 2021 Going for Growth: Shaping a Vibrant Recovery

Author : OECD
Publisher : OECD Publishing
Page : 247 pages
File Size : 40,95 MB
Release : 2021-04-14
Category :
ISBN : 9264911375

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Going for Growth 2021 identifies country-specific structural policy priorities for the recovery across OECD and key non-member countries (Argentina, Brazil, The People’s Republic of China, Costa Rica, India, Indonesia and South Africa). It frames the main policy challenges of the current juncture along three main areas: building resilience; facilitating reallocation and boosting productivity growth for all; and supporting people in transition.

Policy Advice to Asia in the COVID-19 Era

Author : Changyong Rhee
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 105 pages
File Size : 24,19 MB
Release : 2021-03-05
Category : Health & Fitness
ISBN : 1513566598

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The Asia-Pacific region was the first to be hit by the COVID-19 pandemic; it put a strain on its people and economies, and policymaking became exceptionally difficult. This departmental paper contains the assessment of the key challenges facing Asia at this critical juncture and policy advice to the region both to address the current challenges and to build the foundations for a more sustainable and inclusive future. The paper focuses on (1) adjusting to the COVID-19 shock, (2) using unconventional policies when policy space is limited, (3) dealing with debt, and (4) helping the vulnerable and greening the recovery. The paper first presents the different ways countries are adjusting to the COVID-19 shock.