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Price Rigidities and Unemployed Factor Fluctuations in the Adjustment Process

Author : Jiandong Ju
Publisher :
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 42,90 MB
Release : 2001
Category :
ISBN :

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Using a dynamic general equilibrium model with many goods and many factors, this paper studies the adjustment process in a transition from one equilibrium to another. Applying a search process, an adjustment technique is developed to link the product and factor markets. Then an optimal control problem is solved and the optimal price adjustment is shown to be periodical, which generates price rigidities and unemployed factor fluctuations. Therefore, this paper develops an exploratory business cycle model in which price rigidities and unemployed factor fluctuations are the properties of the adjustment process in a transition from one equilibrium to another. In contrast to many conventional macroeconomic models, the model studied in this paper has the following distinguishing characteristics: 1) The adjustment process from one equilibrium to another, not equilibrium itself is studied. As a result, price rigidities and unemployment fluctuations are consequences of adjustment to the change of equilibrium prices that results from change of economic environment. 2) A general equilibrium model with multiple sectors is used to analyze factor flows across different sectors in the adjustment process. With this setup, the change in equilibrium prices means the change of any component in the price vector, not just the change of price index as in the one good model. 3) Perfect information and perfect competition are assumed. 4) The consumer maximizes instantaneous utility subject to a current budget constraint and then a social planner chooses an optimal price adjustment path to maximize intertemporal social utility. Thus, we investigate the causes of price rigidities and unemployment fluctuations that are distinct from intertemporal substitution. 5) Adjustment cost is assumed to be zero. We assume that factor adjustments take time. Changes in economic environment require change of steady state equilibrium prices. Price adjustments then take place in a transition from one equilibrium to another. Price adjustment results in changes in factor demands among different sectors. The reductions (increases) of factors demanded result in unemployment (vacancy) immediately after the price adjustment. The unemployed factors then find new positions through a searching process. Price adjustment alone increases social welfare, however, unemployment resulting from price adjustment reduces social welfare. An optimal price adjustment is determined by the net dynamic gain of the adjustment. It is shown that the net dynamic gain of the price adjustment is the sum of the net intertemporal gain and its dynamic residual. The price adjustment takes place when the net dynamic gain equals zero. The amount of the price reduction is determined such that the net intertemporal gain of the price adjustment equals zero. The dynamic residual is negative when the stability conditions hold. Therefore, net dynamic gain becomes negative immediately after the price adjustment taking place. Negative net dynamic gain prevents any further price adjustment. As time goes on, unemployed factors find new positions and the net dynamic gain reaches zero; the next price adjustment then begins. Therefore, the optimal price adjustment path is periodical, which generates price rigidities and unemployed factor fluctuations in the economy.

The Labor Market and Economic Adjustment

Author : Pierre-Richard Agénor
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 98 pages
File Size : 32,58 MB
Release : 1995-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451854781

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This paper examines the role of the labor market in the transmission process of adjustment policies in developing countries. It begins by reviewing the recent evidence regarding the functioning of these markets. It then studies the implications of wage inertia, nominal contracts, labor market segmentation, and impediments to labor mobility for stabilization policies. The effect of labor market reforms on economic flexibility and the channels through which labor market imperfections alter the effects of structural adjustment measures are discussed next. The last part of the paper identifies a variety of issues that may require further investigation, such as the link between changes in relative wages and the distributional effects of adjustment policies.

Hysteresis and Business Cycles

Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 26,73 MB
Release : 2020-05-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513536990

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Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.

Explaining Unemployment in Spain

Author : Mr.Jeffrey R. Franks
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 42 pages
File Size : 36,92 MB
Release : 1994-09-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451852576

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Spain has the most serious and persistent unemployment problem in Europe, with an unemployment rate that reached 24.6 percent in early 1994. This paper explores the characteristics of this unemployment problem, its causes, and provides a brief discussion of recent labor market reform measures and their likely Impact. A demographic shift in recent years has produced a large rise in female labor force participation and a decrease in agricultural jobs to which the economy has been unable to adjust. The effects of generous unemployment benefits and the large underground economy may explain 6–12 percentage points of the resulting unemployment, but the remainder must be explained by failures and rigidities in the labor market. The paper presents econometric evidence that unemployment displays hysteresis, and that wages are not responsive to changes in the unemployment rate. This evidence supports the claim that insider-outsider factors and rigidities in the legal structure of the labor market are responsible for much of the high unemployment rate. Recent reforms have improved the functioning of the labor market, but they are unlikely to be sufficient to reduce unemployment to single digit rates without further action.

Technology Shocks and Aggregate Fluctuations

Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 68 pages
File Size : 18,95 MB
Release : 2004-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451875657

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Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.

International Dimensions of Monetary Policy

Author : Jordi Galí
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 663 pages
File Size : 17,83 MB
Release : 2010-03-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0226278875

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United States monetary policy has traditionally been modeled under the assumption that the domestic economy is immune to international factors and exogenous shocks. Such an assumption is increasingly unrealistic in the age of integrated capital markets, tightened links between national economies, and reduced trading costs. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy brings together fresh research to address the repercussions of the continuing evolution toward globalization for the conduct of monetary policy. In this comprehensive book, the authors examine the real and potential effects of increased openness and exposure to international economic dynamics from a variety of perspectives. Their findings reveal that central banks continue to influence decisively domestic economic outcomes—even inflation—suggesting that international factors may have a limited role in national performance. International Dimensions of Monetary Policy will lead the way in analyzing monetary policy measures in complex economies.

Inflation Expectations

Author : Peter J. N. Sinclair
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 402 pages
File Size : 27,44 MB
Release : 2009-12-16
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1135179778

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Inflation is regarded by the many as a menace that damages business and can only make life worse for households. Keeping it low depends critically on ensuring that firms and workers expect it to be low. So expectations of inflation are a key influence on national economic welfare. This collection pulls together a galaxy of world experts (including Roy Batchelor, Richard Curtin and Staffan Linden) on inflation expectations to debate different aspects of the issues involved. The main focus of the volume is on likely inflation developments. A number of factors have led practitioners and academic observers of monetary policy to place increasing emphasis recently on inflation expectations. One is the spread of inflation targeting, invented in New Zealand over 15 years ago, but now encompassing many important economies including Brazil, Canada, Israel and Great Britain. Even more significantly, the European Central Bank, the Bank of Japan and the United States Federal Bank are the leading members of another group of monetary institutions all considering or implementing moves in the same direction. A second is the large reduction in actual inflation that has been observed in most countries over the past decade or so. These considerations underscore the critical – and largely underrecognized - importance of inflation expectations. They emphasize the importance of the issues, and the great need for a volume that offers a clear, systematic treatment of them. This book, under the steely editorship of Peter Sinclair, should prove very important for policy makers and monetary economists alike.

When and How to Adjust Beyond the Business Cycle? A Guide to Structural Fiscal Balances

Author : Fabian Bornhorst
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 39 pages
File Size : 30,18 MB
Release : 2011-04-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475510209

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Technical Notes and Manuals are produced by IMF departments to expand the dissemination of their technical assistance advice. These papers present general advice and guidance, drawn in part from unpublished technical assistance reports, to a broader audience. This new series was launched in August 2009.

Price Rigidity

Author : Torben M. Andersen
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
Page : 186 pages
File Size : 41,87 MB
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780198287605

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The price adjustment process is crucial to almost any macroeconomic issue. Current macroeconomic literature features widely different models ranking from instantaneous price adjustment to completely rigid prices. Professor Andersen provides a comprehensive analysis of reasons why prices may fail to adjust instantaneously to changes in market conditions. This unified treatment will allow the reader to understand the mechanisms at work without becoming lost in technical details. This volume covers both real and nominal price rigidities and integrates existing results from the literature with new results on causes for failures of price adjustment. The analysis of real price rigidities includes inventories, customer markets, search and collusive behaviour. Due to the focus on macroeconomic implications, the analysis of nominal price rigidities is extensive and includes menu costs, informational problems, asynchronized price setting as well as the interaction between price and wage setting. Professor Andersen's own theoretical work on imperfect information, a prime source of price and wage rigidity, is given prominence in the book. The volume is thus a combination of a valuable survey of the literature, and an original expression of future possible research avenues.