[PDF] Northwest Energy Policy Project Energy Demand Modeling And Forecasting eBook

Author :
Publisher :
Page : 357 pages
File Size : 13,83 MB
Release : 1977
Category : Energy consumption
ISBN :

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Operating instructions and system documentation for a computerized energy demand forecasting model ... for four fuel types (electricity, gas, oil, and coal), for the three northwest states (Washington, Oregon, and Idaho), in five-year steps, from 1980 through the year 2000. Cf. Bibliographic Data Sheet.

Author : George E. Marshall
Publisher :
Page : 54 pages
File Size : 17,10 MB
Release : 1978
Category : Electric power
ISBN :

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Electrical energy supply and demand forecasts for the Pacific Northwest region vary significantly depending on the assumptions, scenarios, and the forecasting methodology used. Unpredictable aspects of energy supply include (a) construction delays in proposed thermal power plants; (b) unexpected outages in existing thermal power plants; and (c) changing water and streamflow conditions effecting hydropower plants productivity. Forecasts of electricity demand (load forecasting) must consider hundreds of variables, most importantly population, personal income, number of households and energy prices. These factors, when applied to different forecast models, cause a variety of divergent results. In this booklet, five Pacific Northwest load forecasts are described, analyzed and compared. They are the (1) Pacific Northwest Utilities Conference Committee/west group area (PNUCC/West Group); (2) Pacific Northwest Utilities Conference Committee econometric forecast, (PNUCC/Econometric); (3) Northwest Energy Policy Project forecast, (NEPP); (4) Washington State University 'Energy projections for the Pacific Northwest', (WSU); and (5) National Resources Defense Council Forecast (NRDC). Input assumptions and forecasting methods (trend analysis, end use analysis and econometrics) used for each projection are analyzed in light of the influence they have on the resulting forecast. (Author).

Author : William T. Ziemba
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Page : 414 pages
File Size : 13,12 MB
Release : 2012-12-06
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 940098748X

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Alex Cowie As the twentieth century draws to a close, one of our greatest problems is the availability of energy. One way to study the energy problem is to resolve it into four areas; energy demand, energy sources, transportation of energy from sources to demand centers, and the optimal allocation of energy forms to demands. Each of these areas is extremely complex by itself. When efforts are made to tie them together, for example, to produce a National Policy, the complexities are compounded. Another way to study the energy problem, because of its political and so cial consequences, is to resolve it into geographical areas. Individual prov inces of Canada or states of the United States will have their concerns about energy within their geographical boundaries. As producer, consumer, or both, each wants to ensure an energy development program which will work to the maximum benefit of its citizens. Similarly, countries endeavor to pro tect their citizens and undertake energy policies that will assure either a con tinuation of the existing quality of life or - particularly in the case of "Third World" countries - a marked improvement in quality of life. These competing and conflicting goals call for a study which encompasses the whole world. Again, complexity is piled upon complexity. If the prob lem is not yet sufficiently complex, there is an equally complex question of the effect of energy production and use on the ecology.