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Inflation, Uncertainty, and Growth in Colombia

Author : Mr.Henry Ma
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 31 pages
File Size : 46,85 MB
Release : 1998-11-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451981589

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It has been argued that higher levels of inflation lead to greater uncertainty about future inflation and to greater dispersion of relative prices. In either case, inflation could reduce the efficiency of market prices in coordinating economic activities. This paper shows that the rise of inflation in Colombia, from low levels in the 1950s to average rates of 18–22 percent since the 1970s, has been accompanied by increased uncertainty and relative price dispersion; and that inflation has had a negative and persistent effect on real GDP growth.

Explaining Inflation in Colombia: A Disaggregated Phillips Curve Approach

Author : Mr.Sergi Lanau
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 26,17 MB
Release : 2018-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1484356314

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We study inflation dynamics in Colombia using a bottom-up Phillips curve approach. This allows us to capture the different drivers of individual inflation components. We find that the Phillips curve is relatively flat in Colombia but steeper than recent estimates for the U.S. Supply side shocks play an important role for tradable and food prices, while indexation dynamics are important for non-tradable goods. We show that besides allowing for a more detailed understanding of inflation drivers, the bottom-up approach also improves on an aggregate Phillips curve in terms of forecasting ability. In the baseline forecast scenario, both headline and core inflation converge towards the Central Bank’s inflation target of 3 percent by end-2018 but these favorable inflation dynamics are vulnerable to large supply shocks.

Inflation in Colombia

Author : George Francis Hadley
Publisher :
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 10,4 MB
Release :
Category :
ISBN :

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Colombia

Author : International Monetary
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 25 pages
File Size : 12,78 MB
Release : 2023-03-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :

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Colombia: Selected Issues

Exchange Rate Bands and Shifts in the Stabilization Policy Regime

Author : Mr.Alberto Carrasquilla
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 36,47 MB
Release : 1995-04-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451846185

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After 25 years, the Colombian authorities decided to abandon the crawling peg exchange rate policy and implement a regime of nominal exchange rate bands. Initial conditions in Colombia contrast sharply with those of other cases in which bands were part of an ongoing effort to reduce high inflation. This paper argues that the change in regime was motivated by a change in policy objectives. Starting from a policy whose rationale implied targeting stable inflation, a simple analytical model of optimal policy is presented; initial results with the new regime suggest that inflation is now considered costlier and that policy implementation has been consistent with this new view.

Colombia

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 141 pages
File Size : 47,23 MB
Release : 2001-05-03
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451808836

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This Selected Issues paper provides background information and analysis on recent developments and critical issues for the Colombian economy. The study discusses the unemployment and stresses in the financial system and also focuses on fiscal issues. The following statistical data are presented in detail: national accounts at current prices and at constant prices, savings and investment, value of agricultural crops, mining production, structure of regular gasoline prices, indicators of construction activity, minimum wages, producer price index, interest rates, and so on.

Colombia

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 39 pages
File Size : 19,4 MB
Release : 2010-05-04
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1455202657

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This Selected Issues paper on Colombia shows that achieving investment grade status would help lower financing costs for the sovereign, and expand the pool of potential buyers of the Colombian economy. Colombia’s debt levels as of end-2008 were broadly similar to the average for investment grade emerging markets, suggesting that other indicators are taken into account in rating agencies’ assessments. A stronger process of fiscal consolidation that results in a significant decline in public sector debt could help compensate the structural weaknesses.