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Guide to Arctic Security and American Military Implications of Climate Change - Reemergence of the Arctic as a Strategic Location, Taking Command, Managing the Arctic Thaw, Future Naval Operations

Author : Department of Defense (DoD)
Publisher :
Page : 251 pages
File Size : 35,81 MB
Release : 2017-10-04
Category : Arctic regions
ISBN : 9781549893766

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Eight military reports and documents provide unique insights into arctic security issues and American military implications of climate change. Changes in the arctic give rise to emerging security challenges at the strategic and operational levels. That region offers commecial opportunity, such as 90 billion barrels of oil, which will encourage bustling exploration. The authors are concerned that the hazards of waiting too long to fully engage could mean the U.S. loses the opportunity to shape the security, commerce, and environment for the future.

Arctic Imperatives

Author : Thad W. Allen
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations Press
Page : 132 pages
File Size : 42,88 MB
Release : 2017-03-01
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 0876097085

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Arctic Security Considerations and the U.S. Navy's Roadmap for the Arctic

Author : David W. Titley
Publisher :
Page : 14 pages
File Size : 12,83 MB
Release : 2010
Category : Climatic changes
ISBN :

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Arctic sea-ice melting associated with global climate change has caused leaders from the United States and the international community to reconsider the national security implications of the region. Taking into account nearly a century of experience in the Arctic, new national policy, existing strategy, and geopolitical implications of the changing environment, the U.S. Navy has developed an Arctic Roadmap that will guide policy, investment, and action regarding the region. With key themes of improved environmental understanding, informed investments, increased experience, cooperative partnerships, and support for the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, the Arctic Roadmap is meant to ensure Navy readiness and capability and result in recognition of the Navy as a valued partner by the joint, interagency, and international communities.

The Arctic

Author : U. S. Military
Publisher :
Page : 119 pages
File Size : 18,56 MB
Release : 2018-06-26
Category :
ISBN : 9781983276200

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When it comes to the Arctic, there is no lack of planning, debating, studying, or shortage of opinions as to what the U.S. should or should not do in this region of extremes. Should the United States spend billions on icebreakers that when completed may not have ice to break, ignore the region and hope the rest of the world follows suit, or worse, militarize the region for an unknown future threat? Given the budget-constrained environment and lack of threat to the U.S. national security from the Arctic, is there another option or method to allow policy makers to envision a different future for the Arctic, one requiring them to wait and do nothing, knowing with some certainty that taking no action is the right decision at this moment in time? Using scenario planning, this thesis examines four future scenarios for the Arctic and evaluates the strategic patience and persistence strategy introduced in the 2015 National Security Strategy to understand better the costs, risks, and benefits of doing little or nothing in the Arctic. Given the uncertainties in the Arctic and faced with greater threats to the homeland, the strategic patience and persistence strategy is a viable approach to pursue in the Arctic, which allows the U.S. to achieve its national Arctic goals. I. INTRODUCTION * A. PROBLEM SPACE * 1. Background * 2. National Goals for the Arctic * 3. Summary * B. RESEARCH QUESTION * C. THESIS OUTLINE * II. LITERATURE REVIEW * A. OVERVIEW * B. DIPLOMATIC * C. CLIMATE CHANGE * D. AIR AND MARITIME SAFETY * E. ENERGY SECURITY * F. HOMELAND SECURITY * G. CONCLUSION * III. METHOD * A. SCENARIO PLANNING * 1. Background * 2. Models - Simulations - Games * B. SCENARIOS * 1. Background * 2. Development of Scenarios * 3. Steps to Develop a Scenario * C. CONCLUSION * IV. STRATEGIC PATIENCE AND PERSISTENCE STRATEGY * A. KEEPING YOUR POWDER DRY * 1. Theory of Strategy Absence * 2. Decision Avoidance * 3. Real Options * 4. Conclusion * B. A STRATEGY IN SEARCH OF MEANING? * C. CONCLUSION * V. SCENARIOS AND RESULTS * A. INTRODUCTION * B. SCENARIO 1: NEW SPICE ROUTE * C. SCENARIO 2: ARCTIC RENAISSANCE * D. SCENARIO 3: SOCHI AGREEMENT * E. SCENARIO 4: ARCTIC RUSSIAN BEAR * F. SUMMARY * VI. FINDINGS * A. EFFECTIVENESS OF THE STRATEGIC PATIENCE AND PERSISTENCE STRATEGY. * 1. New Spice Route Outcome * 2. Arctic Renaissance Outcome * 3. Sochi Agreement Outcome * 4. Arctic Russian Bear Outcome * B. CONCLUSIONS * VII. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS * A. WRAP-UP * B. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR POLICY MAKERS * C. FUTURE RESEARCH / OPEN QUESTIONS

Arctic Security in an Age of Climate Change

Author : James Kraska
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 341 pages
File Size : 33,86 MB
Release : 2011-07-25
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1139499335

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This book examines Arctic defense policy and military security from the perspective of all eight Arctic states. In light of climate change and melting ice in the Arctic Ocean, Canada, Russia, Denmark (Greenland), Norway and the United States, as well as Iceland, Sweden and Finland, are grappling with an emerging Arctic security paradigm. This volume brings together the world's most seasoned Arctic political-military experts from Europe and North America to analyze how Arctic nations are adapting their security postures to accommodate increased shipping, expanding naval presence, and energy and mineral development in the polar region. The book analyzes the ascent of Russia as the first 'Arctic superpower', the growing importance of polar security for NATO and the Nordic states, and the increasing role of Canada and the United States in the region.

Climate Change and Arctic Security

Author : Lassi Heininen
Publisher : Springer
Page : 137 pages
File Size : 47,33 MB
Release : 2019-07-30
Category : Social Science
ISBN : 3030202305

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This book assesses the construction of security in the context of climate change, with a focus on the Arctic region. It examines and discusses changes in the security premises of the Arctic states, from traditional security to environmental and human security. In particular, the book explores how climate change impacts security discourses and premises as well as theoretically discussing the possibility for another change, from circumpolar stability into peaceful change. Chapters cover topics such as the ethics of climate change in the arctic, China’s emerging power and influence on arctic climate security, the discursive transformation of the definition of security and the intersection between urban, climate and Arctic studies. The book concludes with the question of whether a paradigm shift in our understanding of traditional security is possible, and whether it is already occurring in the Arctic.

Global Trends 2040

Author : National Intelligence Council
Publisher : Cosimo Reports
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 22,16 MB
Release : 2021-03
Category :
ISBN : 9781646794973

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"The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic marks the most significant, singular global disruption since World War II, with health, economic, political, and security implications that will ripple for years to come." -Global Trends 2040 (2021) Global Trends 2040-A More Contested World (2021), released by the US National Intelligence Council, is the latest report in its series of reports starting in 1997 about megatrends and the world's future. This report, strongly influenced by the COVID-19 pandemic, paints a bleak picture of the future and describes a contested, fragmented and turbulent world. It specifically discusses the four main trends that will shape tomorrow's world: - Demographics-by 2040, 1.4 billion people will be added mostly in Africa and South Asia. - Economics-increased government debt and concentrated economic power will escalate problems for the poor and middleclass. - Climate-a hotter world will increase water, food, and health insecurity. - Technology-the emergence of new technologies could both solve and cause problems for human life. Students of trends, policymakers, entrepreneurs, academics, journalists and anyone eager for a glimpse into the next decades, will find this report, with colored graphs, essential reading.

Arctic Assessments

Author : Jason M. Wilson
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 28,41 MB
Release : 2012
Category : Arctic Ocean
ISBN : 9781620811375

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"The gradual retreat of polar sea ice in the Arctic region, combined with an expected increase in human activity - shipping traffic, oil and gas exploration, and tourism - could eventually increase the need for a U.S. military and homeland security presence in the Arctic. In recognition of increasing strategic interest in the Arctic, the United States has developed national level policies that guide the actions of the Department of Defense (DOD), the U.S. Coast Guard, and other stakeholders in the region. This book provides an overview of the policies that indicate that the United States has an enduring interest in working collaboratively with other nations to address the emerging challenges arising from the impacts of climate change and globalization in the Arctic. Also discussed are Arctic national security needs including protecting the environment, managing resources, and supporting scientific research."--

Future Security of the Global Arctic

Author : Lassi Heininen
Publisher : Springer
Page : 184 pages
File Size : 22,50 MB
Release : 2016-01-26
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1137468254

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In the globalized Arctic there has been a transformation from military security to human security. Climate change, the utilization of Arctic resources and other global challenges have caused the Arctic 'paradox' and a need to redefine security.

Routledge Handbook of Arctic Security

Author : Gunhild Hoogensen Gjørv
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 453 pages
File Size : 18,1 MB
Release : 2020-01-09
Category : Political Science
ISBN : 1351968238

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The Routledge Handbook of Arctic Security offers a comprehensive examination of security in the region, encompassing both state-based and militarized notions of security, as well as broader security perspectives reflecting debates about changes in climate, environment, economies, and societies. Since the turn of the century, the Arctic has increasingly been in the global spotlight, resulting in the often invoked idea of “Arctic exceptionalism” being questioned. At the same time, the unconventional political power which the Arctic’s Indigenous peoples hold calls into question conventional ideas about geopolitics and security. This handbook examines security in this region, revealing contestations and complementarities between narrower, state-based and/or militarized notions of security and broader security perspectives reflecting concerns and debates about changes in climate, environment, economies, and societies. The volume is split into five thematic parts: • Theorizing Arctic Security • The Arctic Powers • Security in the Arctic through Governance • Non-Arctic States, Regional and International Organizations • People, States, and Security. This book will be of great interest to students of Arctic politics, global governance, geography, security studies, and International Relations.