[PDF] Expectations Uncertainty And The Term Structure Of Interest Rates eBook

Author : J. C. Dodds
Publisher : Ashgate Publishing
Page : 314 pages
File Size : 10,89 MB
Release : 1992
Category : Interest
ISBN : 9780751200973

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Provides a critical, analytical base for the major theories on the term structure of interest rates. The authors establish guidelines with which to subject individual theories to empirical evaluation, and provide a survey of the evidence to accompany the procedural aspects of the evaluation.

Author : Burton Gordon Malkiel
Publisher : Princeton University Press
Page : 294 pages
File Size : 19,26 MB
Release : 2015-12-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1400879787

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Can expectations alone explain the yield differentials among bonds of different maturities? To what extend do attitudes toward risk and transactions costs influence the behavior of bond investors? Is it possible for the Federal Reserve to "twist" the interest-rate structure in accordance with its policy objectives? These are among the questions treated. Originally published in 1966. The Princeton Legacy Library uses the latest print-on-demand technology to again make available previously out-of-print books from the distinguished backlist of Princeton University Press. These editions preserve the original texts of these important books while presenting them in durable paperback and hardcover editions. The goal of the Princeton Legacy Library is to vastly increase access to the rich scholarly heritage found in the thousands of books published by Princeton University Press since its founding in 1905.

Author : Peter A. Tinsley
Publisher :
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 11,22 MB
Release : 1999
Category :
ISBN :

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The term structure of interest rates is the primary transmission channel of monetary policy. Under the expectations hypothesis, anticipated settings of the short-term interest rate controlled by the central bank are the main determinants of nominal bond rates. Historical experience suggests that bond rates may remain relatively high even if the short-term interest rate is reduced to zero, in part due to term premiums reflecting uncertainty about future policy. Term spreads due to policy uncertainty may be reduced by central bank trading desk options that provide insurance against future deviations from an announced interest rate policy.

Author : S. Boragan Aruoba
Publisher :
Page : 52 pages
File Size : 29,32 MB
Release : 2014
Category : Inflation (Finance)
ISBN :

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"Inflation expectations have recently received increased interest because of the uncertainty created by the Federal Reserve's unprecedented reaction to the Great Recession. The effect of this reaction on the real economy is also an important topic. In this paper the author uses various surveys to produce a term structure of inflation expectations - inflation expectations at any horizon from 3 to 120 months - and an associated term structure of real interest rates. Inflation expectations extracted from this model track actual (ex-post) realizations of inflation quite well, and in terms of forecast accuracy they are at par with or superior to some popular alternatives obtained from financial variables. Looking at the period 2008-2013, the author concludes that the unconventional policies of the Federal Reserve kept long-run inflation expectations anchored and provided a large level of monetary stimulus to the economy."--Abstract.