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Economic and Business Forecasting

Author : John E. Silvia
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 45,40 MB
Release : 2014-03-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1118569547

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Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Forecasting for Economics and Business

Author : Gloria González-Rivera
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 511 pages
File Size : 45,59 MB
Release : 2016-12-05
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1315510405

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For junior/senior undergraduates in a variety of fields such as economics, business administration, applied mathematics and statistics, and for graduate students in quantitative masters programs such as MBA and MA/MS in economics. A student-friendly approach to understanding forecasting. Knowledge of forecasting methods is among the most demanded qualifications for professional economists, and business people working in either the private or public sectors of the economy. The general aim of this textbook is to carefully develop sophisticated professionals, who are able to critically analyze time series data and forecasting reports because they have experienced the merits and shortcomings of forecasting practice.

Forecasting in Business and Economics

Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press Incorporated
Page : 290 pages
File Size : 18,31 MB
Release : 1989-04-28
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780122951817

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Describes the major techniques of forecasting used in economics and business. This book focuses on the forecasting of economic data and covers a range of topics, including the description of the Box-Jenkins single series modeling techniques; forecasts from purely statistical and econometric models; nonstationary and nonlinear models; and more.

Understanding Economic Forecasts

Author : David F. Hendry
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 236 pages
File Size : 49,58 MB
Release : 2003
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262582421

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How to interpret and evaluate economic forecasts and the uncertainties inherent in them.

Time Series Models for Business and Economic Forecasting

Author : Philip Hans Franses
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 421 pages
File Size : 32,36 MB
Release : 2014-04-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1139952129

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With a new author team contributing decades of practical experience, this fully updated and thoroughly classroom-tested second edition textbook prepares students and practitioners to create effective forecasting models and master the techniques of time series analysis. Taking a practical and example-driven approach, this textbook summarises the most critical decisions, techniques and steps involved in creating forecasting models for business and economics. Students are led through the process with an entirely new set of carefully developed theoretical and practical exercises. Chapters examine the key features of economic time series, univariate time series analysis, trends, seasonality, aberrant observations, conditional heteroskedasticity and ARCH models, non-linearity and multivariate time series, making this a complete practical guide. Downloadable datasets are available online.

Handbook of Economic Forecasting

Author : Graham Elliott
Publisher : Elsevier
Page : 667 pages
File Size : 15,86 MB
Release : 2013-08-23
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0444627405

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The highly prized ability to make financial plans with some certainty about the future comes from the core fields of economics. In recent years the availability of more data, analytical tools of greater precision, and ex post studies of business decisions have increased demand for information about economic forecasting. Volumes 2A and 2B, which follows Nobel laureate Clive Granger's Volume 1 (2006), concentrate on two major subjects. Volume 2A covers innovations in methodologies, specifically macroforecasting and forecasting financial variables. Volume 2B investigates commercial applications, with sections on forecasters' objectives and methodologies. Experts provide surveys of a large range of literature scattered across applied and theoretical statistics journals as well as econometrics and empirical economics journals. The Handbook of Economic Forecasting Volumes 2A and 2B provide a unique compilation of chapters giving a coherent overview of forecasting theory and applications in one place and with up-to-date accounts of all major conceptual issues. Focuses on innovation in economic forecasting via industry applications Presents coherent summaries of subjects in economic forecasting that stretch from methodologies to applications Makes details about economic forecasting accessible to scholars in fields outside economics

Economic and Business Forecasting

Author : John E. Silvia
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Page : 400 pages
File Size : 34,80 MB
Release : 2014-03-31
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1118497090

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Discover the secrets to applying simple econometric techniques to improve forecasting Equipping analysts, practitioners, and graduate students with a statistical framework to make effective decisions based on the application of simple economic and statistical methods, Economic and Business Forecasting offers a comprehensive and practical approach to quantifying and accurate forecasting of key variables. Using simple econometric techniques, author John E. Silvia focuses on a select set of major economic and financial variables, revealing how to optimally use statistical software as a template to apply to your own variables of interest. Presents the economic and financial variables that offer unique insights into economic performance Highlights the econometric techniques that can be used to characterize variables Explores the application of SAS software, complete with simple explanations of SAS-code and output Identifies key econometric issues with practical solutions to those problems Presenting the "ten commandments" for economic and business forecasting, this book provides you with a practical forecasting framework you can use for important everyday business applications.

Business Intelligence in Economic Forecasting: Technologies and Techniques

Author : Wang, Jue
Publisher : IGI Global
Page : 406 pages
File Size : 16,83 MB
Release : 2010-06-30
Category : Computers
ISBN : 1615206302

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With the rapid development of economic globalization and information technology, the field of economic forecasting continues its expeditious advancement, providing business and government with applicable technologies. This book discusses various business intelligence techniques including neural networks, support vector machine, genetic programming, clustering analysis, TEI@I, fuzzy systems, text mining, and many more. It serves as a valuable reference for professionals and researchers interested in BI technologies and their practical applications in economic forecasting, as well as policy makers in business organizations and governments.

Forecasting Economic Time Series

Author : C. W. J. Granger
Publisher : Academic Press
Page : 353 pages
File Size : 17,3 MB
Release : 2014-05-10
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1483273245

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Economic Theory, Econometrics, and Mathematical Economics, Second Edition: Forecasting Economic Time Series presents the developments in time series analysis and forecasting theory and practice. This book discusses the application of time series procedures in mainstream economic theory and econometric model building. Organized into 10 chapters, this edition begins with an overview of the problem of dealing with time series possessing a deterministic seasonal component. This text then provides a description of time series in terms of models known as the time-domain approach. Other chapters consider an alternative approach, known as spectral or frequency-domain analysis, that often provides useful insights into the properties of a series. This book discusses as well a unified approach to the fitting of linear models to a given time series. The final chapter deals with the main advantage of having a Gaussian series wherein the optimal single series, least-squares forecast will be a linear forecast. This book is a valuable resource for economists.

Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting

Author : James H. Stock
Publisher : University of Chicago Press
Page : 350 pages
File Size : 34,49 MB
Release : 2008-04-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0226774740

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The inability of forecasters to predict accurately the 1990-1991 recession emphasizes the need for better ways for charting the course of the economy. In this volume, leading economists examine forecasting techniques developed over the past ten years, compare their performance to traditional econometric models, and discuss new methods for forecasting and time series analysis.