[PDF] Decomposing The Wage Curve eBook

Author : Mr.Yasser Abdih
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 34 pages
File Size : 15,63 MB
Release : 2018-06-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1484363574

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In this paper, we undertake empirical analysis to understand U.S. wage behavior since the beginning of the new millennium. At the macroeconomic level, we find that a productivity-augmented Phillips curve model explains the data fairly well. The model reveals that the upward pressure on wage growth from recent tightening in the labor market has been dampened by a persistent decline in trend labor productivity growth and the share of income that accrues to labor. These themes are reinforced and complemented at the micro-economic level. Lower regional unemployment puts an upward pressure on wages of individuals, although this effect has become weaker since 2008. But there is downward pressure on wages for individuals with occupations that are exposed to automation and offshoring, and in industries with a higher concentration of large firms. All these factors appear to play a role illustrating why it is difficult to single out any one culprit for the observed wage growth moderation.

Author : Jordi Galí
Publisher :
Page : 17 pages
File Size : 15,9 MB
Release : 2019
Category : Inflation targeting
ISBN :

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Unconditional reduced form estimates of a conventional wage Phillips curve for the U.S. economy point to a decline in its slope coefficient in recent years, as well as a shrinking role of lagged price inflation in the determination of wage inflation. We provide estimates of a conditional wage Phillips curve, based on a structural decomposition of wage, price and unemployment data generated by a VAR with time varying coefficients, identified by a combination of long-run and sign restrictions. Our estimates show that the key qualitative findings from the unconditional reduced form regressions also emerge in the conditional evidence, suggesting that they are not entirely driven by endogeneity problems or possible changes over time in the importance of of wage markup shocks. The conditional evidence, however, suggests that actual changes in the slope of the wage Phillips curve may not have been as large as implied by the unconditional estimates.

Author : David G. Blanchflower
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 504 pages
File Size : 42,49 MB
Release : 1994
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262023757

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The Wage Curve casts doubt on some of the most important ideas in macroeconomics, labor economics, and regional economics. According to macroeconomic orthodoxy, there is a relationship between unemployment and the rate of change of wages. According to orthodoxy in labor economics and regional economics an area's wage is positively related to the amount of joblessness in the area. The Wage Curve suggests that both these beliefs are incorrect. Blanchflower and Oswald argue that the stable relationship is a downward-sloping convex curve linking local unemployment and the level of pay. Their study, one of the most intensive in the history of social science, is based on random samples that provide computerized information on nearly four million people from sixteen countries. Throughout, the authors systematically present evidence and possible explanations for their empirical law of economics.

Author : Jorge Alvarez
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 29 pages
File Size : 32,24 MB
Release : 2022-11-11
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :

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How often have wage-price spirals occurred, and what has happened in their aftermath? We investigate this by creating a database of past wage-price spirals among a wide set of advanced economies going back to the 1960s. We define a wage-price spiral as an episode where at least three out of four consecutive quarters saw accelerating consumer prices and rising nominal wages. Perhaps surprisingly, only a small minority of such episodes were followed by sustained acceleration in wages and prices. Instead, inflation and nominal wage growth tended to stabilize, leaving real wage growth broadly unchanged. A decomposition of wage dynamics using a wage Phillips curve suggests that nominal wage growth normally stabilizes at levels that are consistent with observed inflation and labor market tightness. When focusing on episodes that mimic the recent pattern of falling real wages and tightening labor markets, declining inflation and nominal wage growth increases tended to follow – thus allowing real wages to catch up. We conclude that an acceleration of nominal wages should not necessarily be seen as a sign that a wage-price spiral is taking hold.

Author : J. Scott Long
Publisher : SAGE
Page : 334 pages
File Size : 43,21 MB
Release : 1997-01-09
Category : Mathematics
ISBN : 9780803973749

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Evaluates the most useful models for categorical and limited dependent variables (CLDVs), emphasizing the links among models and applying common methods of derivation, interpretation, and testing. The author also explains how models relate to linear regression models whenever possible. Annotation c.

Author :
Publisher : Nordic Council of Ministers
Page : 76 pages
File Size : 16,16 MB
Release : 1999
Category : Unemployment
ISBN : 9789289303972

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Engelsk tekst. 109 s., hf., 1999. (TemaNord 1999 ; 597)

Author : International Labour Office
Publisher :
Page : 179 pages
File Size : 12,93 MB
Release : 2018-11-26
Category :
ISBN : 9789220313466

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The 2018/19 edition analyses the gender pay gap. The report focuses on two main challenges: how to find the most useful means for measurement, and how to break down the gender pay gap in ways that best inform policy-makers and social partners of the factors that underlie it. The report also includes a review of key policy issues regarding wages and the reduction of gender pay gaps in different national circumstances.

Author : Weicheng Lian
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 35 pages
File Size : 30,98 MB
Release : 2022-05-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :

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Inflation and unemployment rate were largely disconnected between 2000 and 2019 in advanced economies. We decompose core inflation into two parts based on the cyclical sensitivity of CPI components and document several salient facts: (i) both the cyclical and non-cyclical parts had surges across advaced economies in 2011, when unemployment rates had limited changes; (ii) the non-cyclical part had a downward trend between 2012 and 2019, which existed across countries, sectors, goods, and services; (iii) global indexes such as oil price, shipping costs, and a global supply chain pressure index do not explain the downward trend; and (iv) the cyclical part, after controlling for the impact of economic slack, also had a downward trend between 2012 and 2019. These patterns help disentangle competing explanations for the disconnect between inflation and unemployment rate. The approach has potential to help understand forces shaping price pressures during the pandemic and in the post-pandemic period ahead.

Author : Toshiaki Tachibanaki
Publisher : Springer
Page : 385 pages
File Size : 36,92 MB
Release : 2016-07-27
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1349262811

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Wages are a vital economic variable in their influence on employment and unemployment and as the main source of personal income, affecting both living standards and labour incentives. Wage determination is studied here in an international perspective, using a common theoretical framework and statistical method through the individual country chapters to reveal similarities and differences between Japan, South Korea, the United States, Canada, Australia, the United Kingdom, Germany and France.