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China Space Warfare

Author : Michael Pillsbury
Publisher :
Page : 158 pages
File Size : 23,51 MB
Release : 2007
Category : Anti-satellite weapons
ISBN : 9781422050583

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An Assessment of China's Anti-Satellite and Space Warfare Programs, Policies and Doctrines

Author : Michael P. Pillsbury, Ph.D.
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Page : 80 pages
File Size : 50,86 MB
Release : 2007-01-19
Category : Anti-satellite weapons
ISBN : 9781477405000

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The first two parts of this study present the results of a survey of Chinese writings that discovered 30 proposals that China should acquire several types of anti satellite weapons. Many foreign observers have mistakenly claimed that China is a pacifistic nation and has no interest such weapons. The Director of the US National Reconnaissance Office Donald Kerr confirmed a Chinese laser had illuminated a US satellite in 2006. These skeptical observers dismissed that laser incident, but then appeared to be stunned by the reported Chinese destruction of a satellite January 11, 2007. China declined to confirm the event, but many foreign governments immediately protested, including Japan, South Korea, Australia, Canada and Britain, while Russia's defense minister suggested the report may not be fully accurate.

China, Space Weapons, and U.S. Security

Author : Bruce W. MacDonald
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations
Page : 70 pages
File Size : 19,31 MB
Release : 2008
Category : History
ISBN : 087609406X

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MacDonald recommends options and policies that will promote options and policies that will promote American security interests in space. He argues that the U.S. needs to take priority defensive military space measures to offset potential Chinese anti-satellite and related capabilities.

China's Military Space Program

Author : Timothy R. Wulff
Publisher :
Page : 23 pages
File Size : 31,44 MB
Release : 2012
Category : Astronautics, Military
ISBN :

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"This paper examines China's growing military space program to assess if it is a threat to the national security interests of the United States. There are four possible space doctrines or combinations thereof that China can pursue - space sanctuary, survivability, control, and/or high-ground (dominance). Chinese pursuit of either of the latter two would pose a security threat to the United States. This paper assesses which doctrine China is pursuing based on recent Chinese space activities, Chinese stated space objectives, and the judgments of space experts from the United States, Russia, Japan, and India. The paper concludes that the Chinese are pursing the doctrine of space control, and therefore their program is a threat to the United States. The Chinese consistently claim that their space program is peaceful however they have taken notable actions to weaponize space. Most visible is the 2007 anti-satellite (ASAT) test that witnessed a Chinese direct-ascent missile successfully intercepting and destroying an aging, Chinese weather satellite."--Abstract.

Assessing Chinese Intentions for the Military Use of the Space Domain

Author : Paul S. Oh
Publisher :
Page : 45 pages
File Size : 28,97 MB
Release : 2011
Category :
ISBN :

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"The continuing rise of Chinese political and military power has made Americans suspicious of China's intentions in the space domain. For many in the American defense community, the 2007 Anti-Satellite (ASAT) test was the smoking gun that proved China's ultimate desire to challenge American space dominance. Other experts, however, have proposed a more benign intent behind such actions, leading to vigorous debates over Chinese motives and the appropriate American responses. How can American policymakers decipher Chinese intentions for space to craft sound defense policy? This monograph proposes that to understand Chinese intentions, it is necessary to examine the current schools of military thought vying for influence within China's policymaking apparatus. The school with the most influence should dominate decisions regarding the development of Chinese space capabilities, and hence the direction of their military space policy. Such an examination suggests that although Chinese actions may appear to challenge American power, the dominant influence of the Local War school of thought indicates that China's primary intention for space is to reinforce its regional hegemony. Experts have used multiple models to tackle the question of Chinese intentions. Most have defaulted to some version of the Rational Actor model. From this perspective, events in foreign affairs are "more or less purposive acts of unified national governments." As Allison and Graham discuss, however, there are alternative models to explain government actions. In the Government Politics model, policy outcomes are "resultant of bargaining games among players in the national government." Traditionally, proponents of the Government Politics model have analyzed the competition within China along institutional lines. This monograph utilizes a variation of this model, analyzing the bargaining along the lines of alternative schools of military thought. In applying the schools of thought framework, the monograph begins with an a priori analysis of the various schools within the People's Liberation Army and how each school might influence the development of military space policy. The three schools of thought are broadly categorized as the People's War school, Local War school, and Revolution of Military Affairs school. In theory, each school will support the development of distinctive technology, doctrine, and organization of the military. These developments will produce capabilities that inform the strategic posture of China vis-a̓-vis its potential adversaries. Each school of thought will also be concerned about the domestic impact of military space policy to different degrees. The monograph analyzes China's military space policy by using these criteria of "strategic military posture" and "societal impact." The examination of two Chinese space programs, the Anti-Satellite program and the manned space program, shows the dominant influence of the Local War school of thought. This informs the nature of Chinese intentions for the military use of space and possible ramifications for the American military."--Abstract.

Implications for United States' Military Strategy and Policy of China's Asymmetric Anti-satellite Capability

Author : William Bud Robey
Publisher :
Page : 191 pages
File Size : 24,58 MB
Release : 2015
Category :
ISBN :

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This dissertation argues that a military power shift has occurred in the Pacific. Prevailing international relations theorists believe that United States' military retains a decisive power advantage in the region. This paper offers the argument that the Chinese have adopted an orthogonal approach to increasing their military bargaining power by pursuing a strategy of exploiting US military overdependence on space enabled warfare. To prove this, the paper offers proof the Chinese have pursued and created a kinetic anti-satellite (ASAT) capability capable of destroying US space assets. The Chinese strategy can be effective only in combination with an extant operational and strategic US vulnerability on space. The paper further proves through a comparative case study approach that the US is indeed over dependent on space. The factors of over dependence on encrypted radio communications of the German Navy in World War II and the Battle of the Atlantic are identified in a historical case study. Those factors are then tested for in the US case of space dependence to determine exploitable vulnerability. The conclusions of the study decisively identify a vulnerable US position with highly proliferated dependence on small numbers of space assets, the concentration of risk in those assets, and the existence of a constructive relationship between US space enablers and US military operational doctrine. These facts combined with the Chinese ASAT capability reduce the US bargaining position in a crisis. The survivability of mobile Chinese ASAT assets and the threshold differences between attacking on orbit assets versus pre-empting Chinese ASATs in mainland China create a condition where the US must start a war with China in order to preserve the ability to win. The ability therefore to hold US space assets at risk gives the Chinese escalation dominance in a crisis situation. This research is the first methodical analysis of the impact of the Chinese ASAT program on US-Chinese military power relations, and an important addition to the growing body of work on Chinese anti-access, area denial (A2/AD) strategies. It also expands scholarship in the area of rising challenger strategies shaping responses, offering an approach where a rising challenger seeks to expand power without triggering significant balancing responses from the reigning global power by focusing on reigning power vulnerabilities instead of strengths.

China's Anti-Satellite Test: A Precursor to Challenge U.S. Freedom to Maneuver in Space?.

Author :
Publisher :
Page : 131 pages
File Size : 14,59 MB
Release : 2008
Category :
ISBN :

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On January 11, 2007, the People's Republic of China (PRC) launched a direct-ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) weapon and destroyed one of their satellites. Uncovering Chinese motivations for this action has been problematic because the Chinese government has given virtually no explanation for this act. China seems to be actively attempting to challenge other nations' freedom to maneuver in space. Thus, the central research question of this thesis is as follows: Is the motivation behind current Chinese efforts in its ASAT program to challenge U.S. freedom of maneuver in space? China is not without precedent. From the 1960s to the late 1980s both the United States and the Soviet Union conducted extensive ASAT testing in the development and deployment of ASAT weapons as part of their military space programs. In the case of the USSR, ASAT weapons were extensively tested and deployed, but their relatively low success rate and marginal military value led the Soviet government to abandon the program in favor of arms control negotiations. In the case of the United States, ASAT was another component to ensure national security of all space assets. The USSR study illustrates the inherent political instability of pursuing space weapons, while the U.S. study illustrates the political desire to remain weapon-free in space, but retain the right to defend space assets with force if necessary. China, with its notion of active defense and deterrence doctrine, would seem to align closely with the United States in ASAT employment, and not challenge U.S. freedom of maneuver in space per se, but ensure its own freedom of maneuver in space as it continues to grow a dependence on space assets in the future.

China's Anti-Satellite Weapon Test

Author :
Publisher :
Page : 7 pages
File Size : 29,92 MB
Release : 2007
Category :
ISBN :

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On January 11, 2007, the People's Republic of China (PRC) conducted its first successful direct-ascent anti-satellite (ASAT) weapons test in destroying one of its own satellites in space. The test raised international concerns about more space debris. Longer-term, the test raised questions about China's capability and intention to attack U.S. satellites. The purpose of this CRS Report, based on open sources and interviews, is to discuss that ASAT test by China's military, the People's Liberation Army (PLA), and issues about U.S. assessments and policies. This report will not be updated.

Chinese Views of Future Warfare

Author : Michael Pillsbury
Publisher : DIANE Publishing
Page : 470 pages
File Size : 15,69 MB
Release : 1997-12
Category : China
ISBN : 9780788146688

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An introduction to the works of authoritative and innovative Chinese authors whose writings focus on the future of the Chinese military. These carefully selected, representative essays make Chinese military thinking more accessible to western readers. It reveals, for example, China's keen interest in the Revolution in military affairs. This volume is an important starting point for understanding China's future military modernization. "Must reading for every executive of every Western firm doing business in China." "Readers will be impressed by China's ambitions in space, information warfare, stealth, and robots, in future warfare." Photos.

China's Strategic Support Force

Author : John Costello
Publisher : Createspace Independent Publishing Platform
Page : 84 pages
File Size : 44,96 MB
Release : 2018-10-11
Category :
ISBN : 9781727834604

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In late 2015, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) initiated reforms that have brought dramatic changes to its structure, model of warfighting, and organizational culture, including the creation of a Strategic Support Force (SSF) that centralizes most PLA space, cyber, electronic, and psychological warfare capabilities. The reforms come at an inflection point as the PLA seeks to pivot from land-based territorial defense to extended power projection to protect Chinese interests in the "strategic frontiers" of space, cyberspace, and the far seas. Understanding the new strategic roles of the SSF is essential to understanding how the PLA plans to fight and win informationized wars and how it will conduct information operations.