[PDF] An Analysis Of The Shanghai Communique As An Instrument For Normalization Of Relations With The Peoples Republic Of China eBook

Author : Alan D. Romberg
Publisher :
Page : 268 pages
File Size : 44,58 MB
Release : 2003
Category : Political Science
ISBN :

GET BOOK

Researched over the course of nearly two years, Rein In at the Brink of the Precipice draws extensively on the U.S.-PRC negotiating record and numerous interviews with key former U.S. officials to give a textured sense of U.S. Taiwan policyand its relation to overall Sino-American relationsfrom the Nixon Administration through the present. It argues that U.S. leaders have on occasion been either inattentive toor unaware ofthe commitments undertaken with the Peoples Republic of China regarding Taiwan and, because of this, have unwittingly generated crisesand could do so again.

Author : Paul H. B. Godwin
Publisher :
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 20,62 MB
Release : 2013
Category : China
ISBN :

GET BOOK

This study assesses the context and motivations of the PRC's use of military force since 1949. It then extracts Beijing's use of its calculus of warning statements in detail from several instances in which it has threatened and, in some cases, actually followed through with the use of military force to resolve a dispute. It offers several points to take into account in watching for and analyzing Beijing's use of this warnings calculus in contemporary contexts, and it offers a hypothetical scenario in which this calculus might appear in the context of China's claims in the South China Sea. -- Excerpted from introduction.

Author : Robert Blackwill
Publisher : Council on Foreign Relations Press
Page : 102 pages
File Size : 33,12 MB
Release : 2021-02-11
Category :
ISBN : 9780876092835

GET BOOK

Taiwan "is becoming the most dangerous flash point in the world for a possible war that involves the United States, China, and probably other major powers," warn Robert D. Blackwill, Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) Henry A. Kissinger senior fellow for U.S. foreign policy, and Philip Zelikow, University of Virginia White Burkett Miller professor of history. In a new Council Special Report, The United States, China, and Taiwan: A Strategy to Prevent War, the authors argue that the United States should change and clarify its strategy to prevent war over Taiwan. "The U.S. strategic objective regarding Taiwan should be to preserve its political and economic autonomy, its dynamism as a free society, and U.S.-allied deterrence-without triggering a Chinese attack on Taiwan." "We do not think it is politically or militarily realistic to count on a U.S. military defeat of various kinds of Chinese assaults on Taiwan, uncoordinated with allies. Nor is it realistic to presume that, after such a frustrating clash, the United States would or should simply escalate to some sort of wide-scale war against China with comprehensive blockades or strikes against targets on the Chinese mainland." "If U.S. campaign plans postulate such unrealistic scenarios," the authors add, "they will likely be rejected by an American president and by the U.S. Congress." But, they observe, "the resulting U.S. paralysis would not be the result of presidential weakness or timidity. It might arise because the most powerful country in the world did not have credible options prepared for the most dangerous military crisis looming in front of it." Proposing "a realistic strategic objective for Taiwan, and the associated policy prescriptions, to sustain the political balance that has kept the peace for the last fifty years," the authors urge the Joe Biden administration to affirm that it is not trying to change Taiwan's status; work with its allies, especially Japan, to prepare new plans that could challenge Chinese military moves against Taiwan and help Taiwan defend itself, yet put the burden of widening a war on China; and visibly plan, beforehand, for the disruption and mobilization that could follow a wider war, but without assuming that such a war would or should escalate to the Chinese, Japanese, or American homelands. "The horrendous global consequences of a war between the United States and China, most likely over Taiwan, should preoccupy the Biden team, beginning with the president," the authors conclude.