[PDF] The Foundations Of Causal Decision Theory eBook

Author : James M. Joyce
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 281 pages
File Size : 17,65 MB
Release : 1999-04-13
Category : Science
ISBN : 1139471384

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This book defends the view that any adequate account of rational decision making must take a decision maker's beliefs about causal relations into account. The early chapters of the book introduce the non-specialist to the rudiments of expected utility theory. The major technical advance offered by the book is a 'representation theorem' that shows that both causal decision theory and its main rival, Richard Jeffrey's logic of decision, are both instances of a more general conditional decision theory. The book solves a long-standing problem for Jeffrey's theory by showing for the first time how to obtain a unique utility and probability representation for preferences and judgements of comparative likelihood. The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true. The most complete and robust defence of causal decision theory available.

Author : James M. Joyce
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 300 pages
File Size : 40,68 MB
Release : 1999-04-13
Category : Computers
ISBN : 9780521641647

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The book also contains a major new discussion of what it means to suppose that some event occurs or that some proposition is true.

Author : Martin Peterson
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 351 pages
File Size : 43,55 MB
Release : 2017-03-30
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1107151597

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A comprehensive and accessible introduction to all aspects of decision theory, now with new and updated discussions and over 140 exercises.

Author : Arif Ahmed
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 32,29 MB
Release : 2017-02-02
Category : Science
ISBN : 9781316641545

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Most philosophers agree that causal knowledge is essential to decision-making: agents should choose from the available options those that probably cause the outcomes that they want. This book argues against this theory and in favour of evidential or Bayesian decision theory, which emphasises the symptomatic value of options over their causal role. It examines a variety of settings, including economic theory, quantum mechanics and philosophical thought-experiments, where causal knowledge seems to make a practical difference. The arguments make novel use of machinery from other areas of philosophical inquiry, including first-person epistemology and the free will debate. The book also illustrates the applicability of decision theory itself to questions about the direction of time and the special epistemic status of agents.

Author : Peter Gärdenfors
Publisher :
Page : 449 pages
File Size : 31,47 MB
Release : 1988
Category : Philosophy
ISBN : 9780521333917

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Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.

Author : Peter Gärdenfors
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 464 pages
File Size : 12,78 MB
Release : 1988-04-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780521336581

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Decision theory and the theory of rational choice have recently been the subjects of considerable research by philosophers and economists. However, no adequate anthology exists which can be used to introduce students to the field. This volume is designed to meet that need. The essays included are organized into five parts covering the foundations of decision theory, the conceptualization of probability and utility, pholosophical difficulties with the rules of rationality and with the assessment of probability, and causal decision theory. The editors provide an extensive introduction to the field and introductions to each part.

Author : Richard Bradley
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 351 pages
File Size : 42,20 MB
Release : 2017-10-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1107003210

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Explores how decision-makers can manage uncertainty that varies in both kind and severity by extending and supplementing Bayesian decision theory.

Author : Arif Ahmed
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 112 pages
File Size : 10,34 MB
Release : 2021-10-21
Category : Science
ISBN : 1108607861

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Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions. An appendix gives an intuitive explanation of the measure-theoretic foundations of Evidential Decision Theory.

Author : Ellery Eells
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Page : 229 pages
File Size : 48,44 MB
Release : 2016-08-26
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1107144817

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This book is Ellery Eells' influential examination and analysis of theories of rational decision making.