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Author : Antonio Abadía Caselles
Publisher :
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 15,8 MB
Release : 2002
Category :
ISBN :
Author : Neville Francis
Publisher :
Page : 48 pages
File Size : 14,31 MB
Release : 2002
Category : Business cycles
ISBN :
In this paper, we re-examine the recent evidence that technology shocks do not produce business cycle patterns in the data. We first extend Gal's (1999) work, which uses long-run restrictions to identify technology shocks, by examining whether the identified shocks can be plausibly interpreted as technology shocks. We do this in three ways. First, we derive additional long-run restrictions and use them as tests of overidentification. Second, we compare the qualitative implications from the model with the impulse responses of variables such as wages and consumption. Third, we test whether some standard 'exogenous' variables predict the shock variables. We find that oil shocks, military build-ups, and Romer dates do not predict the shock labeled 'technology.' We then show ways in which a standard DGE model can be modified to fit Gal's finding that a positive technology shock leads to lower labor input. Finally, we re-examine the properties of the other key shock to the system
Author : Mr.Pau Rabanal
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 68 pages
File Size : 33,85 MB
Release : 2004-12-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451875657
Our answer: Not so well. We reached that conclusion after reviewing recent research on the role of technology as a source of economic fluctuations. The bulk of the evidence suggests a limited role for aggregate technology shocks, pointing instead to demand factors as the main force behind the strong positive comovement between output and labor input measures.
Author : Ms.Valerie Cerra
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 50 pages
File Size : 34,37 MB
Release : 2020-05-29
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1513536990
Traditionally, economic growth and business cycles have been treated independently. However, the dependence of GDP levels on its history of shocks, what economists refer to as “hysteresis,” argues for unifying the analysis of growth and cycles. In this paper, we review the recent empirical and theoretical literature that motivate this paradigm shift. The renewed interest in hysteresis has been sparked by the persistence of the Global Financial Crisis and fears of a slow recovery from the Covid-19 crisis. The findings of the recent literature have far-reaching conceptual and policy implications. In recessions, monetary and fiscal policies need to be more active to avoid the permanent scars of a downturn. And in good times, running a high-pressure economy could have permanent positive effects.
Author : Mr.Nooman Rebei
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 41 pages
File Size : 15,62 MB
Release : 2012-08-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475505612
The paper asks how state of the art DSGE models that account for the conditional response of hours following a positive neutral technology shock compare in a marginal likelihood race. To that end we construct and estimate several competing small-scale DSGE models that extend the standard real business cycle model. In particular, we identify from the literature six different hypotheses that generate the empirically observed decline in worked hours after a positive technology shock. These models alternatively exhibit (i) sticky prices; (ii) firm entry and exit with time to build; (iii) habit in consumption and costly adjustment of investment; (iv) persistence in the permanent technology shocks; (v) labor market friction with procyclical hiring costs; and (vi) Leontief production function with labor-saving technology shocks. In terms of model posterior probabilities, impulse responses, and autocorrelations, the model favored is the one that exhibits habit formation in consumption and investment adjustment costs. A robustness test shows that the sticky price model becomes as competitive as the habit formation and costly adjustment of investment model when sticky wages are included.
Author : Ryuzo Kuroki
Publisher : Routledge
Page : 290 pages
File Size : 34,21 MB
Release : 2012
Category : Biography & Autobiography
ISBN : 0415469775
Leading economists including Ed Nell and Heinz Kurz have joined forces in this volume with internationally respected Japanese scholars to produce a strong collection of contributions to the debate on Keynes' monumental legacy.
Author : John B. Taylor
Publisher : North Holland
Page : 596 pages
File Size : 28,22 MB
Release : 1999-12-13
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :
This text aims to provide a survey of the state of knowledge in the broad area that includes the theories and facts of economic growth and economic fluctuations, as well as the consequences of monetary and fiscal policies for general economic conditions.
Author : Richard H. Clarida
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 551 pages
File Size : 28,11 MB
Release : 2006
Category : Economic policy
ISBN : 0262033607
Leading American and European economists discuss monetary and fiscal policy from a global macroeconomic perspective and analyze the implications of European integration; cutting-edge research presented in a companion volume to the NBER Macroeconomics Annual.
Author : Gang Gong
Publisher : Oxford University Press
Page : 213 pages
File Size : 30,70 MB
Release : 2006-01-19
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 0195345738
This is a book on stochastic dynamic macroeconomics from a Keynesian perspective. It shows that including Keynesian features in intertemporal models considerably contributes to resolve major puzzles arising in the context of the Dynamic General Equilibrium (DGE) model. It also demonstrates that including microeconomic intertemporal behavior of economic agents in macroeconomics is not inconsistent with Keynesian economics.
Author : National Bureau of Economic Research
Publisher : MIT Press
Page : 508 pages
File Size : 35,54 MB
Release : 2005
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9780262572293
Papers by leading researchers consider such questions as the effect of government debt on interest rates; technology shocks, demand shocks, and output volatility; and procyclical macroeconomic policies in developing countries.