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Fiscal Policy, Public Expenditure Composition, and Growth

Author : Willi Semmler
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 36 pages
File Size : 27,62 MB
Release : 2007
Category : Access to Finance
ISBN :

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Abstract: This paper responds to the development policy debate involving the World Bank and the IMF on the use of fiscal policy not only for economic stabilization but also to promote economic growth and increase per capita income. A key issue in this debate relates to the effect of the composition of public expenditure on economic growth. Policy makers and some researchers have argued that expenditure on growth-enhancing functions could enhance future revenue and justify the provision of "fiscal space" in the budget. But there are no simple ways to identify the growth-maximizing composition of public expenditure. The current paper lays out a research strategy to explore the effects of fiscal policy, including the composition of public expenditure, on economic growth, using a time series approach. Based on the modeling strategy of Greiner, Semmler and Gong (2005) we develop a general model that features a government that undertakes public expenditure on (a) education and health facilities which enhance human capital, (b) public infrastructure such as roads and bridges necessary for market activity, (c) public administration to support government functions, (d) transfers and public consumption facilities, and (e) debt service. The proposed model is numerically solved, calibrated and the impact of the composition of public expenditure on the long-run per capita income explored for low-, lower-middle- and upper-middle-income countries. Policy implications and practical policy rules are spelled out, the extension to an estimable model indicated, a debt sustainability test proposed, and the out-of-steady-state dynamics studied.

Fiscal Policy, Public Expenditure Composition, and Growth

Author : Willi Semmler
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 13,8 MB
Release : 2012
Category :
ISBN :

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This paper responds to the development policy debate involving the World Bank and the IMF on the use of fiscal policy not only for economic stabilization but also to promote economic growth and increase per capita income. A key issue in this debate relates to the effect of the composition of public expenditure on economic growth. Policy makers and some researchers have argued that expenditure on growth-enhancing functions could enhance future revenue and justify the provision of "fiscal space" in the budget. But there are no simple ways to identify the growth-maximizing composition of public expenditure. The current paper lays out a research strategy to explore the effects of fiscal policy, including the composition of public expenditure, on economic growth, using a time series approach. Based on the modeling strategy of Greiner, Semmler and Gong (2005) we develop a general model that features a government that undertakes public expenditure on (a) education and health facilities which enhance human capital, (b) public infrastructure such as roads and bridges necessary for market activity, (c) public administration to support government functions, (d) transfers and public consumption facilities, and (e) debt service. The proposed model is numerically solved, calibrated and the impact of the composition of public expenditure on the long-run per capita income explored for low-, lower-middle- and upper-middle-income countries. Policy implications and practical policy rules are spelled out, the extension to an estimable model indicated, a debt sustainability test proposed, and the out-of-steady-state dynamics studied.

Fiscal Policy, Public Expenditure Composition, and Growth Theory and Empirics

Author : Willi Semmler
Publisher :
Page : 36 pages
File Size : 24,80 MB
Release : 2016
Category :
ISBN :

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This paper responds to the development policy debate involving the World Bank and the IMF on the use of fiscal policy not only for economic stabilization but also to promote economic growth and increase per capita income. A key issue in this debate relates to the effect of the composition of public expenditure on economic growth. Policy makers and some researchers have argued that expenditure on growth-enhancing functions could enhance future revenue and justify the provision of quot;fiscal spacequot; in the budget. But there are no simple ways to identify the growth-maximizing composition of public expenditure. The current paper lays out a research strategy to explore the effects of fiscal policy, including the composition of public expenditure, on economic growth, using a time series approach. Based on the modeling strategy of Greiner, Semmler and Gong (2005) we develop a general model that features a government that undertakes public expenditure on (a) education and health facilities which enhance human capital, (b) public infrastructure such as roads and bridges necessary for market activity, (c) public administration to support government functions, (d) transfers and public consumption facilities, and (e) debt service. The proposed model is numerically solved, calibrated and the impact of the composition of public expenditure on the long-run per capita income explored for low-, lower-middle- and upper-middle-income countries. Policy implications and practical policy rules are spelled out, the extension to an estimable model indicated, a debt sustainability test proposed, and the out-of-steady-state dynamics studied.

Fiscal Policy and Long-Term Growth

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 257 pages
File Size : 50,73 MB
Release : 2015-04-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1498344658

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This paper explores how fiscal policy can affect medium- to long-term growth. It identifies the main channels through which fiscal policy can influence growth and distills practical lessons for policymakers. The particular mix of policy measures, however, will depend on country-specific conditions, capacities, and preferences. The paper draws on the Fund’s extensive technical assistance on fiscal reforms as well as several analytical studies, including a novel approach for country studies, a statistical analysis of growth accelerations following fiscal reforms, and simulations of an endogenous growth model.

The Composition of Public Expenditure and Growth

Author : Nihal Bayraktar
Publisher :
Page : 74 pages
File Size : 46,82 MB
Release : 2016
Category :
ISBN :

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This paper presents a small-scale intertemporal model of endogenous growth that accounts for the composition of public expenditure and externalities associated with public capital. Government spending is disaggregated into various components, including maintenance, security, and investment in education, health, and core infrastructure. After studying its long-run properties, the model is calibrated for Haiti, using country-specific information as well as parameter estimates from the literature. A variety of policy experiments are then reported, including a reallocation of spending aimed at creating fiscal space to promote public investment; an improvement in fiscal management that leads to a reduction in tax collection costs; higher spending on security; and a composite fiscal package.

Can a Government Enhance Long-Run Growth by Changing the Composition of Public Expenditure?

Author : Mr.Santiago Acosta Ormaechea
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 45 pages
File Size : 32,90 MB
Release : 2013-07-08
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1475550596

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This paper studies the effects of public expenditure reallocations on long-run growth. To do this, we assemble a new dataset based on the IMF’s GFS yearbook for the period 1970-2010 and 56 countries (14 low-, 16 medium-, and 26 high-income countries). Using dynamic panel GMM estimators, we find that a reallocation involving a rise in education spending has a positive and statistically robust effect on growth, when the compensating factor remains unspecified or when this is associated with an offsetting reduction in social protection spending. We also find that public capital spending relative to current spending appears to be associated with higher growth, yet results are non-robust in this latter case.

Public Expenditure, Economic Growth and Inflation

Author : Mukesh Kumar Solanki
Publisher : Allied Publishers
Page : 134 pages
File Size : 49,41 MB
Release : 2015-02-11
Category : Economic development
ISBN : 8184249764

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The book “Public Expenditure, Economic Growth and Inflation” addresses the most relevant issue of inflation in Indian economy. It makes an interesting reading as it attempts to establish the relationship among three macro-economic indicators, i.e., public expenditure, economic growth and inflation. The book gives an overview of the increasing public expenditure and its composition throughout the years after independence. Based on the secondary data the study makes a sincere effort to establish the possible relationship between public expenditure, inflation and economic growth. The book finds out that the Wagner law of increasing state activity is applicable in India both in absolute and relative terms. Economic Growth and public expenditure are positively correlated. Economic growth and inflation are inversely related. As public expenditure is motivated by maximization of social welfare, reduction in public expenditure means to sacrifice the social welfare objective.

Expenditure Composition, Fiscal Adjustment, and Growth in Low-Income Countries

Author : Carlos Mulas-Granados
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 17,24 MB
Release : 2002-04-01
Category :
ISBN : 9781451850000

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This paper assesses the effects of expenditure composition as well as fiscal adjustment on economic growth in a sample of 39 low-income countries during the 1990s. The paper finds that strong budgetary positions and fiscal consolidation are generally associated with higher economic growth in both the short and long terms. The composition of public outlays also matters: Countries where spending is concentrated on wages tend to have lower growth, while those that allocate higher shares to capital and nonwage goods and services enjoy faster output expansion. Expenditure composition, along with the size of the fiscal consolidation and initial fiscal conditions, affects the sustainability of adjustment. Initial fiscal conditions also have a bearing on the nexus between fiscal deficits and growth.

Government Expenditure and Economic Growth

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 30 pages
File Size : 47,1 MB
Release : 1989-05-15
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1451974159

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This paper examines the empirical evidence on the contribution that government and, in particular, capital expenditure make to the growth performance of a sample of developing countries. Using the Denison growth accounting approach, this study finds that social expenditures may have a significant impact on growth in the short run, but infrastructure expenditures may have little influence. While current expenditures for directly productive purposes may exert a positive influence, capital expenditure in these sectors appears to exert a negative influence. Experiments with other explanatory variables confirm the importance of the growth of exports to the overall growth rate.