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Cross-Country Empirical Studies of Systemic Bank Distress

Author : Ms.Enrica Detragiache
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 40,82 MB
Release : 2005-05-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451861150

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A rapidly growing empirical literature is studying the causes and consequences of bank fragility in present-day economies. The paper reviews the two basic methodologies adopted in cross-country empirical studies-the signals approach and the multivariate probability model-and their application to studying the determinants of banking crises. The use of these models to provide early warnings for crises is also reviewed, as are studies of the economic effects of banking crises and of the policies to forestall them. The paper concludes by identifying directions for future research.

Cross-Country Empirical Studies of Systemic Bank Distress

Author : Asl?? Demirg????-Kunt
Publisher :
Page : pages
File Size : 18,36 MB
Release : 2012
Category :
ISBN :

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A rapidly growing empirical literature is studying the causes and consequences of bank fragility in contemporary economies. The authors reviews the two basic methodologies adopted in cross-country empirical studies-the signals approach and the multivariate probability model-and their application to study the determinants of banking crises. The use of these models to provide early warnings for crises is also reviewed, as are studies of the economic effects of banking crises and of the policies to forestall them. The paper concludes by identifying directions for future research.

Cross-Country Empirical Studies of Systemic Bank Distress: A Survey

Author :
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 40 pages
File Size : 23,29 MB
Release : 2005-05-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :

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A rapidly growing empirical literature is studying the causes and consequences of bank fragility in present-day economies. The paper reviews the two basic methodologies adopted in cross-country empirical studies-the signals approach and the multivariate probability model-and their application to studying the determinants of banking crises. The use of these models to provide early warnings for crises is also reviewed, as are studies of the economic effects of banking crises and of the policies to forestall them. The paper concludes by identifying directions for future research.

Banking Crises and Crisis Dating

Author : Mr.Gianni De Nicolo
Publisher : INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND
Page : 0 pages
File Size : 28,93 MB
Release : 2009-07-01
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 9781451872880

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Many empirical studies of banking crises have employed "banking crisis" (BC) indicators constructedusing primarily information on government actions undertaken in response to bank distress. Weformulate a simple theoretical model of a banking industry which we use to identify and constructtheory-based measures of systemic bank shocks (SBS). Using both country-level and firm-level samples, we show that SBS indicators consistently predict BC indicators based on four major BCseries that have appeared in the literature. Therefore, BC indicatorsactually measure lagged government responses to systemic bank shocks, rather than the occurrence of crises per se. We re-examine the separate impact of macroeconomic factors, bank market structure, deposit insurance, andexternal shocks on the probability of a systemic bank shocks and on the probability of governmentresponses to bank distress. The impact of these variables on the likelihood of a government responseto bank distress is totally different from that on the likelihood of a systemic bank shock.Disentangling the effects of systemic bank shocks and government responses turns out to be crucial inunderstanding the roots of bank fragility. Many findings of a large empirical literature need to be re-assessed and/or re-interpreted.

Current Debates in Finance & Econometrics

Author : Ozan Gönüllü
Publisher : IJOPEC
Page : 180 pages
File Size : 34,21 MB
Release : 2018
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 191250331X

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As the outcome of the seventh international congress, the papers in this volume cover a wide range of topics related to the main theme of the conference, titled “Current Debates in Social Sciences”, and basically focus on finance and econometrics. Even though most of the papers deal with the empirical analysis on finance, there are also studies on econometrics analysis. In this context, the articles in the book draw attention to the different aspects of finance and econometrics such as outlined banking sector studies, capital market analysis and case studies, the impact of the use of social media for financial purposes on financial literacy, discussion of the performance evaluation of Type A mutual funds in Turkey. The U-shape hypothesis validity in Turkey, validity of the hypothesis of unemployment hysteria in selected OECD countries. We believe that these studies would contribute to the development of debates in social sciences and encourage interdisciplinary approaches.

Does Financial Connectedness Predict Crises?

Author : Ms.Camelia Minoiu
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 44 pages
File Size : 47,78 MB
Release : 2013-12-24
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1484331311

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The global financial crisis has reignited interest in models of crisis prediction. It has also raised the question whether financial connectedness - a possible source of systemic risk - can serve as an early warning indicator of crises. In this paper we examine the ability of connectedness in the global network of financial linkages to predict systemic banking crises. Our results indicate that increases in a country's financial interconnectedness and decreases in its neighbors' connectedness are associated with a higher probability of banking crises after controlling for macroeconomic fundamentals.

Creating a More Efficient Financial System

Author : Thorsten Beck
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Page : 61 pages
File Size : 43,98 MB
Release : 2006
Category : Banks and banking
ISBN :

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"While Bangladesh has embarked on a path to reform its financial system, most prominently by privatizing its government-owned banks, the Nationalized Commercial Banks (NCBs), a sustainable long-term expansion of the financial system requires a more substantial change in the role of government. Using recent research and international comparisons, this paper argues that the government should move from its role as an operator and arbiter in the financial system to a facilitator role. This implies not only divestment from government-owned banks, but also de-politicization of the licensing process and a market-based bank failure resolution framework that focuses on intermediation and not on the rescue of individual institutions. Most important, the government should move away from the implicit guarantee for depositors and owners to applying the existing limited explicit deposit insurance for depositors, while simultaneously relying more on market participants to monitor and discipline banks instead of micro-managing financial institutions. This redefinition of government's role should not be limited to the banking system, but applies to other segments of the financial system, such as capital markets and the micro-finance sector, and should be seen as an essential element in the governance reform agenda and in the movement from a relationship-based economy to a market and arms-length economy. "--World Bank web site.

From Banking to Sovereign Stress - Implications For Public Debt

Author : International Monetary Fund
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 88 pages
File Size : 43,16 MB
Release : 2014-12-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1498342434

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This paper explores how banking sector developments and characteristics influence the propagation of risks from the banking sector to sovereign debt, including how they affect the extent of fiscal costs of banking crises when those occur. It then proposes practices and policies for the fiscal authorities to help manage the risks and enhance crisis preparedness.

Africa on the Move

Author : Mr.Lamin Leigh
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 182 pages
File Size : 38,5 MB
Release : 2016-01-22
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN : 1498384269

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This book describes the reforms needed to move small middle-income countries in sub-Saharan Africa to advanced-economy status. The result of intense discussions with public officials in the countries covered, the book blends rigorous theory, econometrics, and practitioners' insights to come up with practical recommendations for policymakers. It spans topics from macroeconomic vulnerability and reserve adequacy to labor market institutions and financial inclusion. The book is a must-read for researchers interested in the economic issues facing developing countries in sub-Saharan Africa.

Financial Stress and Economic Activity: Evidence from a New Worldwide Index

Author : Hites Ahir
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Page : 132 pages
File Size : 35,18 MB
Release : 2023-10-20
Category : Business & Economics
ISBN :

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This paper uses text analysis to construct a continuous financial stress index (FSI) for 110 countries over each quarter during the period 1967-2018. It relies on a computer algorithm along with human expert oversight and is thus easy to update. The new indicator has a larger country and time coverage and higher frequency than similar measures focusing on advanced economies. And it complements existing binary chronologies in that it can assess the severity of financial crises. We use the indicator to assess the impact of financial stress on the economy using both country- and firm-level data. Our main findings are fivefold: i) consistent with existing literature, we show an economically significant and persistent relationship between financial stress and output; ii) the effect is larger in emerging markets and developing economies and (iii) for higher levels of financial stress; iv) we deal with simultaneous causality by constructing a novel instrument—financial stress originating from other countries—using information from the text analysis, and show that, while there is clear evidence that financial stress harms economic activities, OLS estimates tend to overestimate the magnitude of this effect; (iv) we confirm the presence of an exogenous effect of financial stress through a difference-in-differences exercise and show that effects are larger for firms that are more financially constrained and less profitable.